Damaged Goods Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50Lost to High Sticks 0-2, playoff odds down 4.3 to 4.1% 7 points 3-8-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2 | -4.2 | | -4.2 | | +3.4 | | -0.7 | | Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1 | -0.4 | | -0.4 | | -0.8 | | | | Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9 | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | +0.1 | | Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | -0.8 | | | | Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1 | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | +0.1 | | | | Nordiques 6 Whalers 3 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | +0.1 | | Hooligans 7 Blues 0 | | | | | -0.2 | | +0.1 | | The Brothers 7 Lucas 4 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 12/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Nordiques vs Damaged Goods | -2.1-0.5+2.2 | | -2.1-0.5+2.2 | | +3.6-0.5-3.5 | | -0.6-0.0+0.6 | | Hooligans vs High Sticks | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | | | | | Purple Cobras vs Misfits | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | +0.9*+0.0-0.9 | | | | O'Neills vs Whalers | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | Surge vs Blues | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | +0.7*+0.1-0.7 | | | | Young Guns vs Lucas | | | | | -0.8*-0.0+0.8 | | | | Erie County Fusion vs The Brothers | | | | | -0.3*-0.0+0.3 | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | Hardy vs Grey Hawks | | | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Damaged Goods finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | | TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 37 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 27 | 46 | 22 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 451 | | 36 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 9 | 28 | 45 | 16 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 75 | | 35 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 2 | 15 | 30 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 402 | * | 34 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 0 | 5 | 17 | 36 | 29 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 989 | * | 33 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,523 | * | 32 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.1 | | 99.1 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 7,292 | * | 31 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 94.9 | | 94.9 | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 18,102 | * | 30 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 80.1 | | 80.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 30,301 | * | 29 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 54.8 | | 54.8 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 29,598 | | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 54.1 | | 54.1 | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 30,586 | * | 28 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 26.8 | | 26.8 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 67,293 | | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 26.1 | | 26.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 19,952 | * | 27 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 9.0 | | 9.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 69,110 | | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 8.9 | | 8.9 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 65,010 | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 8.7 | | 8.7 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 9,117 | * | 26 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 1.9 | | 1.9 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 134,487 | | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 1.9 | | 1.9 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 45,645 | * | 25 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.3 | | 0.3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 124,290 | | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.3 | | 0.3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | No | 108,383 | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.3 | | 0.3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | No | 18,281 | * | 24 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 37 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | No | 199,661 | | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 37 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | No | 73,255 | * | 23 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 164,791 | | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 139,320 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 0 | | | No | 25,443 | * | 22 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 234,640 | * | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 34 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 79,637 | | 21 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | | 165,270 | | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | | 138,728 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 40 | 27 | 6 | 0 | | 0.4 | | 25,538 | * | 20 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2.3 | | 200,240 | | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2.2 | | 73,274 | * | 19 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 7.9 | | 123,528 | | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 8.0 | | 108,181 | | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 8.0 | | 17,967 | * | 18 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 20.1 | | 132,850 | | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 20.1 | | 45,716 | * | 17 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 32 | 6 | 37.8 | | 68,240 | | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 32 | 6 | 37.9 | | 73,537 | * | 16 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 44 | 14 | 58.5 | | 66,843 | | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 33 | 44 | 14 | 58.5 | | 20,112 | * | 15 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 21 | 49 | 27 | 75.9 | | 29,747 | | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 21 | 49 | 27 | 75.9 | | 30,692 | * | 14 | | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 42 | 88.1 | | 30,321 | * | 13 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 37 | 58 | 95.2 | | 17,707 | * | 12 | | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 26 | 73 | 98.3 | | 7,229 | * | 11 | | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 17 | 83 | 99.5 | | 3,509 | * | 10 | | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 89 | 99.9 | | 1,018 | * | 9 | | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 99.7 | | 398 | * | 7 | -8 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 510 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 4.1 | % | 4.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 8.8 | % | 3,080,789 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |