| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| 2011-2012 | |
| AISHC-SunEve | |
| Schneggenburger | |
| 21 | O'Neills |
| 20 | Nordiques |
| 19 | Hooligans |
| 15 | Shots on You |
| 10 | Grey Hawks |
| 9 | Whalers |
| 7 | Blues |
| 7 | Damaged Goods |
| 7 | The Brothers |
| Smith | |
| 21 | Young Guns |
| 20 | Erie County Fusion |
| 18 | Hardy |
| 14 | High Sticks |
| 12 | Blue Light Special |
| 11 | Misfits |
| 3 | Purple Cobras |
| 2 | Surge |
| 0 | Lucas |
| Floor Hockey | |
| AISHC-SunEve | |
| TCSSC Wed Floor | |
| Bar Sports | |
| Baseball | |
| Basketball | |
| Bocce | |
| Broomball | |
| Curling | |
| Floor Hockey | |
| Football | |
| Hockey | |
| Indoor Soccer | |
| Inline Hockey | |
| Kickball | |
| Other | |
| Roller Hockey | |
| Soccer | |
| Softball | |
| Street Hockey | |
| Ultimate Frisbee | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Friends | |
Damaged Goods Playoff Chances 2011-2012
Lost to High Sticks 0-2, playoff odds down 0.9 to 0.3%
7 points 3-8-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2 | -0.7 | -0.7 | +0.5 | -0.3 | ||||
| Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||||
| Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | |||||
| Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9 | +0.0 | |||||||
| Nordiques 6 Whalers 3 | +0.0 | |||||||
| Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2 | -0.1 | |||||||
| Hooligans 7 Blues 0 | +0.0 | |||||||
| The Brothers 7 Lucas 4 | -0.0 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| Week of 12/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nordiques vs Damaged Goods | -0.1+0.1+0.5 | -0.1+0.1+0.5 | +0.3-0.5-1.0 | -0.2+0.2+0.6 | ||||
| Hooligans vs High Sticks | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Purple Cobras vs Misfits | +0.5+0.1-0.2 | |||||||
| Surge vs Blues | +0.4+0.1-0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | ||||||
| Young Guns vs Lucas | -0.0+0.1+0.2 | |||||||
| Erie County Fusion vs The Brothers | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||||
| O'Neills vs Whalers | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Damaged Goods finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 37 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 1 | 10 | 32 | 41 | 16 | 1 | No | 492 | |||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 33 | 67 | No | 3 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 5 | 45 | 35 | 15 | No | 20 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 33 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98.5 | % | 98.5 | % | 2 | 20 | 50 | 27 | 2 | No | 66 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 32 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 92.3 | 92.3 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 45 | 8 | No | 233 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 77.3 | 77.3 | 3 | 26 | 48 | 20 | 2 | 0 | No | 731 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 56.6 | 56.6 | 1 | 14 | 42 | 35 | 8 | 0 | No | 1,942 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 36.3 | 36.3 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 44 | 17 | 2 | 0 | No | 5,416 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 28 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 11,122 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 27 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 12,648 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 12,501 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 31,960 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 33 | 7 | 0 | No | 12,054 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 43 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 42,594 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 40,772 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 24 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 33 | 7 | 0 | No | 92,329 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 42 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 32,464 | ||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 44 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 102,048 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 43 | 18 | 1 | 0 | No | 79,687 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 45 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 17,280 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 22 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 33 | 5 | 0 | No | 180,879 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 15 | 43 | 34 | 6 | 0 | No | 72,477 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 46 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 175,754 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 45 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 139,137 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 46 | 16 | 1 | No | 28,683 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 18 | 48 | 28 | 4 | 0 | No | 267,888 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 17 | 48 | 29 | 4 | 0 | No | 103,871 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 43 | 11 | 0 | No | 217,206 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 39 | 42 | 10 | 0 | No | 182,304 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 7 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 43 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 31,940 | |||||||||||||||
| 18 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 25 | 50 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 289,654 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 50 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 102,706 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 12 | 46 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 188,971 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 13 | 47 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 173,376 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 8 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 25,960 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 34 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 0.2 | 223,333 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 33 | 55 | 8 | 0 | 0.2 | 68,723 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 21 | 61 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | 119,141 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 10 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 20 | 61 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | 114,302 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 9 | - | 4 | Out | No | 1 | 19 | 61 | 18 | 1 | 0.9 | 12,601 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 9 | 57 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 3.4 | 118,968 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 10 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 57 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 3.7 | 29,797 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 44 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 9.6 | 57,173 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 11 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 44 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 9.5 | 47,756 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 27 | 52 | 21 | 1 | 21.2 | 49,391 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 13 | 49 | 36 | 3 | 38.8 | 28,543 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | No | 4 | 34 | 54 | 8 | 61.4 | 9,380 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 19 | 62 | 18 | 79.9 | 4,446 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 14 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 57 | 36 | 92.3 | 792 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 34 | 66 | 99.7 | 761 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.3 | % | 0.3 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | % | 3,562,275 | ||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
