Horsemen Playoff Chances 2011
Beat Outlaws II 8-5, playoff odds up 1.3 to 99.7%
8 points 4 1-0 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Horsemen 8 Outlaws II 5 | +0.9 | +0.5 | ||
| Cougars 4 Pylons 5 (so) | -0.2 | |||
| Force 13 Thump 3 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome SOTieAway SOAway | ||||
| Week of 10/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Horsemen vs Jets | +0.2+0.2+0.1+0.0-0.4 | +0.3+0.3-0.0-0.1-0.5 | ||
| Pylons vs Ice Pilots | -0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0 | +0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0 | ||
| Thump vs Outlaws II | -0.0-0.1*+0.0-0.0+0.0 | |||
| OCR vs Force | -0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0 | +0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Horsemen finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||||
| 28 | 10 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 95 | 5 | 65,937 | |||||||||||||
| 27 | 9 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 87 | 13 | 43,267 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 83 | 17 | 0 | 34,064 | |||||||||||||
| 26 | 9 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 65 | 34 | 0 | 374,988 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 65 | 34 | 0 | 42,046 | * | ||||||||||||
| 25 | 8 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 51 | 48 | 1 | 228,371 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 47 | 51 | 2 | 189,169 | * | ||||||||||||
| 24 | 8 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 28 | 66 | 6 | 0 | 968,818 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 28 | 66 | 6 | 0 | 94,223 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 31 | 64 | 5 | 0 | 61,624 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | In | 25 | 68 | 7 | 0 | 38,206 | * | |||||||||||
| 23 | 7 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 16 | 68 | 15 | 0 | 517,932 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 14 | 68 | 18 | 0 | 392,113 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | In | 15 | 69 | 15 | 0 | 52,363 | * | |||||||||||
| 22 | 7 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 6 | 60 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 1,434,520 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 6 | 61 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 181,021 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 7 | 63 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 120,766 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | In | 5 | 59 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 76,064 | * | ||||||||||
| 21 | 6 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 2 | 44 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 663,514 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 2 | 41 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 491,639 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 1 | 2 | In | 2 | 44 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 35,792 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 2 | 1 | In | 1 | 40 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 26,383 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 2 | 44 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 23,482 | * | ||||||||||
| 20 | 6 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 0 | 24 | 58 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1,352,668 | |||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 0 | 23 | 57 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 192,023 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 0 | 26 | 58 | 15 | 1 | 143,275 | * | ||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | In | 0 | 21 | 57 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 70,402 | ||||||||||
| 19 | 5 | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0 | 10 | 51 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 530,359 | |||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 0 | 8 | 48 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 385,713 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 1 | 2 | In | 0 | 9 | 50 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 31,194 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 2 | 1 | In | 0 | 9 | 48 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 43,752 | * | |||||||||
| 18 | 5 | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 0 | 3 | 32 | 49 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 847,082 | ||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 0 | 2 | 29 | 49 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 124,946 | |||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 0 | 3 | 33 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 86,386 | |||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 2 | 0 | In | 2 | 26 | 50 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 52,892 | * | |||||||||
| 17 | 4 | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0 | 12 | 45 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 288,743 | * | ||||||||
| 4 | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 10 | 43 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 195,760 | ||||||||
| 3 | 4 | - | 1 | 2 | 100.0 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23,616 | * | ||||||||
| 16 | 4 | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 50 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 359,554 | ||||||||
| 3 | 5 | - | 1 | 1 | 99.9 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 50 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 49,961 | |||||||||
| 3 | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | 100.0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 50 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 55,906 | * | ||||||||
| 15 | 3 | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 99.4 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 91,851 | ||||||||
| 3 | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 99.0 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 75,412 | * | ||||||||
| 14 | 3 | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 94.7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 45 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 127,075 | * | |||||||
| 13 | 2 | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 77.8 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 46 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 34,162 | * | |||||||
| 12 | 2 | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 52.0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 21,558 | * | ||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 19.1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 50 | 29 | 2 | 4,047 | * | ||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 5.7 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 45 | 9 | 2,143 | * | |||||||||
| 9 | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | 1 | 17 | 51 | 31 | 178 | * | ||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 3 | 43 | 54 | 2,922 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 99.7 | % | 11 | 35 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11,349,882 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:45 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
