Cougars Playoff Chances 2011
Lost to Pylons 4-5 (so), playoff odds up 0.06 to 7.8%
1 points 0 4-1 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cougars 4 Pylons 5 (so) | -1.0 | -0.0 | ||
| Force 13 Thump 3 | +0.5 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome SOTieAway SOAway | ||||
| Week of 10/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cougars vs KCL | +4.2+3.7-0.9-1.3-4.3 | +0.4+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Pylons vs Ice Pilots | -1.2-1.3-0.3-0.4+0.7 | -0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0 | ||
| OCR vs Force | -1.4-1.4-0.5-0.6+0.5 | -0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0 | ||
| Thump vs Outlaws II | -0.8-1.1-0.3-0.3+0.7 | |||
| Horsemen vs Jets | +0.2-0.2*-0.1-0.4-0.3 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Cougars finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||||
| 21 | 10 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 10 | 56 | 31 | 3 | 2,880 | |||||||||||
| 20 | 9 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 1 | 28 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 138 | * | |||||||||
| 19 | 9 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 0 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 1,213 | * | ||||||||
| 18 | 8 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 0 | 1 | 24 | 47 | 25 | 3 | 3,183 | * | ||||||||
| 17 | 8 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 0 | 7 | 38 | 43 | 12 | 1 | 14,409 | * | ||||||||
| 16 | 7 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 99.8 | % | 0 | 1 | 15 | 45 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 31,021 | * | ||||||
| 15 | 7 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 97.8 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 47 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 94,625 | * | |||||||
| 14 | 6 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 86.0 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 41 | 13 | 1 | 105,669 | * | ||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 88.2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 58,798 | |||||||||
| 13 | 6 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 67.2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 45 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 228,562 | ||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 1 | 1 | 62.9 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 45 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 68,821 | |||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 61.8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 44 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 81,157 | * | ||||||||
| 12 | 5 | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 33.1 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 47 | 19 | 0 | 263,864 | |||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 36.1 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 46 | 17 | 0 | 189,042 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 2 | 1 | 29.4 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 48 | 22 | 1 | 78,666 | * | |||||||||
| 11 | 5 | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 15.1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 46 | 36 | 2 | 580,440 | |||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | 12.1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 3 | 177,026 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 2 | 0 | 11.1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 42 | 3 | 123,186 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | 12.1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 88,362 | * | |||||||||
| 10 | 4 | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 2.7 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 59 | 10 | 539,868 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 3.3 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 58 | 9 | 391,571 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 4 | - | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 61 | 13 | 65,084 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 4 | - | 1 | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 60 | 11 | 46,917 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 4 | - | 3 | 0 | 1.8 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 61 | 14 | 45,308 | * | ||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 63 | 22 | 990,849 | ||||||||||
| 3 | 5 | - | 1 | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 62 | 26 | 285,096 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 5 | - | 2 | 0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 61 | 28 | 195,230 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 62 | 26 | 139,829 | * | ||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 52 | 45 | 715,999 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 54 | 42 | 521,537 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 5 | - | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 47 | 51 | 75,497 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 5 | - | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 49 | 49 | 55,967 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 5 | - | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 52 | 51,672 | * | |||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 62 | 1,124,625 | |||||||||||
| 2 | 6 | - | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 68 | 275,617 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 6 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | 0 | 28 | 72 | 213,766 | * | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 66 | 102,152 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | 7 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | 0 | 17 | 83 | 586,910 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 0 | 19 | 80 | 435,182 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | 6 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | 0 | 11 | 89 | 46,948 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | 6 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | 0 | 13 | 87 | 66,093 | * | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 8 | 92 | 809,866 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | 7 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | 5 | 95 | 148,383 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | 7 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | 4 | 96 | 107,276 | * | |||||||||||||
| 1 | 7 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | 0 | 6 | 94 | 55,079 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 8 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | 1 | 99 | 273,912 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | 8 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 2 | 98 | 232,902 | * | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 100 | 345,699 | * | ||||||||||||
| 0 | 8 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | 100 | 55,854 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | -2 | Out | 100 | 158,132 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 7.8 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 47 | 11,349,882 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:45 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
