Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances 2014-2015-2AuthorNicolasTelmosse 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.003 to 0.1%

80 points 34 31-12

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina vs Philadelphia	+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1		+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.4
NY Islanders vs Buffalo	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Boston vs Toronto	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Columbus vs Pittsburgh			+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Detroit			+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Florida vs Tampa Bay			+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

90	5	0		-	0	3.5	%	No							0	4	25	49	20	2					121,027
89	4	0		-	1	0.2		No								0	6	34	45	15					181,089
88	4	1		-	0	0.0		No								0	1	12	43	40	5				419,597
	3	0		-	2	0.0		No								0	0	8	41	45	6				107,754
87	3	1		-	1	Out		No									0	2	25	57	15				505,700
	2	0		-	3	Out		No									0	1	23	59	16				32,408
86	3	2		-	0	Out		No										0	7	48	45				589,108
	2	1		-	2	Out		No										0	6	48	46				227,519
	1	0		-	4	Out		No											6	47	46				4,860
85	2	2		-	1	Out		No										0	2	33	65				530,499
	1	1		-	3	Out		No											2	33	65				45,243
	0	0		-	5	Out		No											1	37	62				319
84	2	3		-	0	Out		No											0	11	86	3			412,482
	1	2		-	2	Out		No											0	11	86	3			158,903
	0	1		-	4	Out		No											0	11	86	3			3,454
83	1	3		-	1	Out		No											0	4	88	7			247,356
	0	2		-	3	Out		No											0	4	88	8			15,965
82	1	4		-	0	Out		No													78	22	0		145,288
	0	3		-	2	Out		No													74	25	1		36,910
81	0	4		-	1	Out		No													56	40	4		43,141
80	0	5		-	0	Out		No													33	54	13		20,518

Total:						0.1	%	No							0	0	1	5	14	31	46	3	0		3,849,140

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Jose 5 Arizona 0	+0.1
Anaheim 4 Colorado 3 (ot)	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Carolina vs Philadelphia	-0.5-0.5-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.7
Florida vs Tampa Bay	-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Los Angeles vs Colorado	-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Columbus vs Pittsburgh	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Arizona vs San Jose	-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Detroit	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

90	5	0		-	0														0		4	5	24	39	23	5	0
89	4	0		-	1																0	0	5	22	38	27	7	0
88	4	1		-	0																0	0	0	4	19	39	30	7	0
	3	0		-	2																0	0	0	3	16	39	34	8	1
87	3	1		-	1																		0	0	4	22	44	26	5
	2	0		-	3																		0	0	3	21	44	27	5
86	3	2		-	0																			0	0	5	28	45	22
	2	1		-	2																			0	0	4	28	46	22
	1	0		-	4																				0	4	26	47	23
85	2	2		-	1																				0	1	10	41	47
	1	1		-	3																				0	1	11	41	47
	0	0		-	5																					1	11	40	48
84	2	3		-	0																					0	2	21	73	4	0
	1	2		-	2																					0	2	21	73	4	0
	0	1		-	4																						1	21	73	4	0
83	1	3		-	1																					0	0	7	79	13	1
	0	2		-	3																					0	0	7	79	13	1
82	1	4		-	0																							1	61	34	5	0
	0	3		-	2																							1	58	35	6	0
81	0	4		-	1																								27	43	24	5	0
80	0	5		-	0																								8	31	38	19	3

Total:																			0		0	0	1	3	6	11	18	24	32	4	1	0	0