Rookie Mistakes Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to Billy 114-127, playoff odds down 22.2 to 75.7%
8 points 8-0 4
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Paul 114 Billy 127 | -7.4 | -0.5 | ||
| Connor 87.4 Kevin 78.4 | -3.4 | |||
| Mikey 107.9 Paul 137.9 | +2.2 | +0.1 | ||
| Tim 123 Kevin 94 | -1.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Benlm 151.6 Tim 141.7 | +0.6 | +0.3 | ||
| Jack 103 Connor 127 | -0.6 | |||
| Kamali 103 Sam 99.2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Kamali 111 Mikey 82 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 12/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Connor vs Tim | -34.0In | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Kamali vs Paul | -17.4In | -0.8+1.1 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Paul finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Count | ||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 42 | 58 | 12,733,274 | ||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 58.3 | % | 58 | 42 | 17,788,550 | |||||||
| Total: | 75.7 | % | 17 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 30,521,824 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Paul 114 Billy 127 | +0.6 | |
| Benlm 151.6 Tim 141.7 | -0.3 | |
| Mikey 107.9 Paul 137.9 | -0.2 | |
| Connor 87.4 Kevin 78.4 | -0.1 | |
| Tim 123 Kevin 94 | +0.1 | |
| Kamali 103 Sam 99.2 | +0.1 | |
| Kamali 111 Mikey 82 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 12/4 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Kamali vs Paul | +0.8-1.1 | |
| Connor vs Tim | +0.1-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | ||
| 9 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 42 | 58 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 58 | 42 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 17 | 24 | 34 | 24 | ||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:28 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
