Fighting Saints Playoff Chances 2012-2013

Plays Blade Runners 6:00 PM, playoff odds down 6.6 to 18.4%

0 points 0 0-0 0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday, 4/3	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fighting Piranh 4 Blade Runners 3	-0.2		+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Mastodons C3 vs Fighting Saints	-11.8-5.6-2.0+7.3+12.0		-0.5-0.3-0.0+0.4+0.5

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Friday, 4/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fighting Saints vs Blade Runners	+4.0+2.1-6.1-6.5-9.4		+0.3+0.2-0.2-0.4-0.8
Fighting Piranh vs Mastodons C3	-0.4-2.0-1.5-4.5+1.9		+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0

Chances based on how well the Fighting Saints finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

6	3	0		-	0	0		Yes		100				1,547,410
5	2	0		-	0	1		84.1	%	84	16			702,535
	2	0		-	1	0		42.9		43	57	0		314,041
4	2	1		-	0	0		20.2		20	72	8		6,019,523
	1	0		-	0	2		10.9		11	88	1		96,915
	1	0		-	1	1		0.7		1	70	30		80,650
	1	0		-	2	0		No			32	68	0	15,567
3	1	1		-	0	1		0.1		0	48	52	0	1,546,911
	1	1		-	1	0		No			24	75	1	597,381
	0	0		-	1	2		No			2	90	8	4,810
	0	0		-	0	3		No			4	89	7	4,225
	0	0		-	2	1		No				88	12	1,717
	0	0		-	3	0		No				81	19	225
2	1	2		-	0	0		No			6	71	23	5,723,155
	0	1		-	0	2		No			0	69	31	92,064
	0	1		-	1	1		No				40	60	66,451
	0	1		-	2	0		No					100	10,691
1	0	2		-	0	1		No				13	87	634,943
	0	2		-	1	0		No					100	207,373
0	0	3		-	0	0		No					100	1,327,877

Total:								18.4	%	18	32	32	18	18,994,464

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Wednesday, 4/3	100.0*	Lottery seed
Mastodons C3 vs Fighting Saints	+1.0+0.1-0.2-0.7-1.0
Moose C3 vs Sort: Conf	-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Friday, 4/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Fighting Saints vs Blade Runners	-0.6-0.4+0.2+0.4+1.7
Fighting Piranh vs Mastodons C3	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8

6	3	0		-	0	0		100
5	2	0		-	0	1		84		16
	2	0		-	1	0		43		57	0
4	2	1		-	0	0		13	7	72	8
	1	0		-	0	2		6	5	88	1
	1	0		-	1	1		0	0	70	29
	1	0		-	2	0				32	68	0
3	1	1		-	0	1		0	0	47	51	2	0
	1	1		-	1	0				23	72	5	0
	0	0		-	1	2				16	81	4
	0	0		-	0	3				44	56	0
	0	0		-	2	1				4	79	17
	0	0		-	3	0					74	24	2
2	1	2		-	0	0				5	39	46	9
	0	1		-	0	2				0	33	52	15
	0	1		-	1	1					14	61	24
	0	1		-	2	0						60	40
1	0	2		-	0	1						14	86
	0	2		-	1	0							100
0	0	3		-	0	0									100

Total:								16	2	31	21	15	7		7