"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Stars 6 Wolf Pack 3 +8.5
+0.2
Buccaneers 1 Lumberjacks 7 -4.7
-0.1
Ice Gators 3 Fighting Saints 3 -4.5
-0.1
Jesters 6 Grizzlies B1 8 *+0.6
Fighting Piranhas C1 5 Taz Devils 6 (ot)*-0.6
Hawks 9 River Pirates 3 *+0.2
Ice Sages 7 Diablos D2 1 *-0.1
Sled Dogs D1 1 Spiders D1 5 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 3/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Stars vs Lumberjacks+27.4-2.8-11.0OutOut
+0.6+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.6
Royals D1 vs Stars-11.9+5.0+5.4+25.0+25.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.5+0.5
Lumberjacks vs Yellow Jackets-13.9-13.3-9.0-8.5+9.7
-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.2
Fighting Saints vs Arctic Wolves-2.6-2.2+7.7+10.9+6.8
-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Stars finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs12345678910111213Count
2620-0098.3%197213,792
2510-0163.163374,661
10-1046.947532,226
2411-0022.122522642,665
00-02Out5941385
00-11Out5347316
00-20Out554562
2301-01Out47536,394
01-10Out48522,793
2202-00Out109026,706
Total:27.0%0273340100,000
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs