Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGWL-OTTGD%Change12345678910111213Avg.ChangeRPI
Yellow Jackets282132-0252In672841.42Yellow Jackets
Royals D1272122-2133In2746272.020Royals D1
Ice Gators252124-0137100.0%+0.062663602.716Ice Gators
Lumberjacks231105-212765.3+0.14612874.446Lumberjacks
Stars22195-131431.9-0.223044244.943Stars
Fighting Saints20197-02102.8+0.1328695.736Fighting Saints
Muskies D115169-12-11Out712277.474Muskies D1
Wolf Pack122611-00-23Out27393228.178Wolf Pack
Buccaneers14510-31-35Out339588.686Buccaneers
Gold Rush10514-00-45Out0554510.5100Gold Rush
Arctic Wolves91413-01-59Out2435510.597Arctic Wolves

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/20
Buccaneers 1 Lumberjacks 7
9:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lumberjacks+14.3
+0.3
Stars-9.8
-0.1
Fighting Saints-4.5
-0.1
Muskies D1+0.1
Wolf Pack+0.2
Buccaneers-0.3
Stars 6 Wolf Pack 3
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice Gators-0.2
Lumberjacks-7.9
-0.1
Stars+13.6
+0.3
Fighting Saints-5.5
-0.1
Muskies D1+0.1
Wolf Pack-0.3
Buccaneers+0.2
Ice Gators 3 Fighting Saints 3
9:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yellow Jackets*In
-0.0
Royals D1*-0.0
Ice Gators+0.7
+0.1
Lumberjacks+4.8
+0.1
Stars*-1.5
-0.1
Fighting Saints-4.1
-0.0
Sled Dogs C2 8 Eagles 3
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Stars*+0.2
Hawks 9 River Pirates 3
9:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Stars*-0.1
Yellow Jackets 3 Royals D1 1
7:45 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yellow JacketsIn
+0.4
Royals D1-0.4
Muskies D1 7 Arctic Wolves 3
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Muskies D1+0.3
Wolf Pack-0.1
Buccaneers-0.1
Gold Rush+0.1
Arctic Wolves-0.2
Arctic Wolves vs Ice GatorsIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
7:45 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yellow Jackets1.31.31.31.41.4
Royals D11.9*2.02.02.12.1
Ice Gators99.9*In*In*InIn
2.92.72.82.52.5
Gold Rush10.710.710.310.310.2
Arctic Wolves10.210.310.710.710.8
Week of 3/27
Stars vs LumberjacksIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice GatorsIn98.4*In*InIn
Lumberjacks27.468.373.5InIn
4.94.34.33.93.9
Stars67.328.721.1OutOut
4.34.84.95.15.4
Fighting Saints5.34.75.5OutOut
5.75.85.85.95.6
Royals D1 vs StarsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yellow Jackets1.51.51.31.31.2
Royals D11.81.72.02.02.3
Ice GatorsIn*In*In99.799.9
2.82.72.72.82.6
Lumberjacks78.572.972.551.351.5
4.24.34.34.54.5
Stars15.326.526.848.948.6
5.34.94.94.64.6
Fighting Saints6.20.60.7OutOut
5.55.85.85.85.8
Lumberjacks vs Yellow JacketsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
7:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yellow Jackets1.61.31.31.21.2
Royals D11.92.12.12.22.1
Ice Gators99.9*99.9*In*InIn
2.62.82.72.72.7
Lumberjacks78.879.969.469.750.2
4.14.14.34.34.6
Stars21.220.226.125.844.3
5.05.05.05.04.8
Fighting SaintsOutOut4.54.55.5
5.75.85.65.65.6
Fighting Saints vs Arctic WolvesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
9:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lumberjacks64.1*64.0*66.5*66.266.4
4.54.54.44.44.3
Stars29.9*30.2*33.6*33.833.7
5.15.14.84.84.7
Fighting Saints6.05.8OutOutOut
5.45.45.85.85.9
Wolf Pack8.18.18.18.28.1
Gold Rush10.210.310.310.710.7
Arctic Wolves10.810.710.710.210.2
Ice Gators vs Wolf PackHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
7:45 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yellow Jackets1.41.41.31.31.3
Royals D12.12.12.02.01.9
Ice GatorsIn*In*In*In99.9
2.52.52.82.72.9
Muskies D17.27.47.47.57.5
Wolf Pack8.58.18.17.87.8
Buccaneers8.48.58.58.88.8
Wolf Pack vs Muskies D1HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
8:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Muskies D17.87.57.17.17.0
Wolf Pack7.67.78.38.38.6
Buccaneers8.68.88.68.68.5
Muskies D1 vs Royals D1HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
9:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yellow Jackets1.21.31.31.51.5
Royals D12.32.02.01.71.8
Ice Gators2.62.72.72.82.8
Muskies D17.17.27.37.37.6
Wolf Pack8.28.28.08.08.0
Buccaneers8.78.78.68.78.4
Yellow Jackets vs Gold RushHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yellow Jackets1.21.21.31.31.6
Royals D12.12.12.12.11.9
Ice Gators2.72.72.72.72.6
Gold Rush10.710.310.310.210.2
Arctic Wolves10.310.710.710.810.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.