C1 West Tier Playoff Chances 2009-2010 50/50

														100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT		T	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Avg.	Change	RPI

Grizzlies C1	30		14	3		-	1	1		36	In			79	21												1.2		25	Grizzlies C1
Bullheads	28		13	4		-	0	2		44	In			21	79												1.8		12	Bullheads
Chiefs C1	25		11	5		-	1	2		29	In					100											3.0		38	Chiefs C1
Gators	22		10	7		-	0	2		1	78.9	%	-0.0				79	21									4.2		49	Gators

Taz Devils	20		9	8		-	0	2		-8	21.1		+0.0				21	79									4.8		58	Taz Devils
Mutiny	13		5	11		-	0	3		-14	Out								71	29							6.3		81	Mutiny
Rack Attack	12		6	13		-	0	0		-44	Out								29	71							6.7		91	Rack Attack
Fighting Piranhas C1	6		1	14		-	2	2		-44	Out										100						8.0		105	Fighting Piranhas C1

Week of 3/20
Chiefs C1 5 Gators 9
6:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bullheads			+0.2
Chiefs C1			-0.2
Gators	+23.3		+0.2
Taz Devils	-23.3		-0.2

Fighting Piranhas C1 5 Taz Devils 6 (ot)
8:15 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Gators	-17.4		-0.2
Taz Devils	+17.4		+0.2

Jets 5 Zephyrs 3
6:15 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Gators	*-0.2
Taz Devils	*+0.2

Grizzlies C1 4 Bullheads 6
8:15 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Grizzlies C1			-0.1
Bullheads			+0.3
Chiefs C1			-0.2

Rack Attack 7 Mutiny 6
7:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Mutiny			-0.1
Rack Attack			+0.1

Week of 3/27
Gators vs Rack AttackIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
8:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Gators	InInInIn53.1		4.04.04.04.04.5
Taz Devils	OutOutOutOut46.9		5.05.05.05.04.5
Mutiny			6.06.46.46.56.5
Rack Attack			7.06.66.66.56.5

Taz Devils vs Chiefs C1HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:15 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Gators	55.254.6InInIn		4.44.54.04.04.0
Taz Devils	44.845.4OutOutOut		4.64.55.05.05.0

Mutiny vs Grizzlies C1HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
10:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Grizzlies C1			1.51.01.01.01.0
Bullheads			1.52.02.02.02.0
Mutiny			6.06.06.56.56.6
Rack Attack			7.07.06.56.56.4

Bullheads vs Fighting Piranhas C1HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
9:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Grizzlies C1			1.41.41.01.01.0
Bullheads			1.61.62.02.02.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

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