Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change1234567891011121314Avg.ChangeRPI
Cheat to Win10-2-0.833265.7In9191.2+0.241Cheat to Win
Fighting Cephal9-3-0.750163.88In9912.8+0.092Fighting Cephalopods
Teamy McTeam Face6-6-0.500117.0457.8%+29.51825151715826.2+1.858Teamy McTeam Face
Replacement Squad6-6-0.500-19.6647.7-22.99201816181456.7-1.005The Replacement Squad
Spazzy! Don't S5-7-0.417-48.689.2-19.128151514161510419.2-1.129Spazzy! Don't Spike TJ!
Brakebills Magi4-8-0.33311.74Out-4.87191919231211.7-1.0612Brakebills Magicians
Fluffy Kittens4-8-0.333-322.64Out151320194312.8+0.4114Fluffy Kittens

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/14
Spazzy! Don't S 103.06 Replacement Squad 124.74
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Cephal-0.1
Teamy McTeam Face-0.3
Replacement Squad+23.4
+1.5
Spazzy! Don't S-22.4
-1.4
Brakebills Magi+0.3
Cheat to Win 160.7 Teamy McTeam Face 96.92
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cheat to WinIn
+0.4
Fighting Cephal+1.1
Teamy McTeam Face-21.2
-1.3
Replacement Squad+2.8
+0.1
Spazzy! Don't S+2.6
+0.1
Brakebills Magi+1.3
+0.1
Fighting Cephal 120.34 Brakebills Magi 114.12
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cheat to Win-0.2
Fighting Cephal+7.4
+0.7
Teamy McTeam Face+0.3
Spazzy! Don't S+0.5
Brakebills Magi-10.6
-1.2
Fluffy Kittens 132.38 Skull Fuckers 125.96
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Cephal+0.9
Teamy McTeam Face+2.6
+0.1
Replacement Squad+2.6
+0.1
Spazzy! Don't S+2.2
Brakebills Magi+1.3
Fluffy Kittens+0.4
Moyers Destroyers 155.12 Hawaiian Old Guys 86.02
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Cephal+0.5
Teamy McTeam Face+1.1
Replacement Squad+1.3
Spazzy! Don't S+1.2
Brakebills Magi+0.7
Bounty Punters 107 Team B's Be Cra 101.68
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Cephal-0.2
Teamy McTeam Face-0.5
Replacement Squad-0.5
Spazzy! Don't S-0.3
Brakebills Magi-0.4
SEA-PHL Direct 125.66 Fantasy Reaper 125.84
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Teamy McTeam Face+0.5
Replacement Squad+0.4
Spazzy! Don't S+0.4
Brakebills Magi+0.4
+0.1
Week of 11/21
Fighting Cephal 125.64 Replacement Squad 60.6
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cheat to Win-0.2
Fighting Cephal+0.4
Teamy McTeam Face+3.8
+0.2
Replacement Squad-23.8
-1.2
Spazzy! Don't S+2.6
+0.2
Brakebills Magi+3.2
Teamy McTeam Face 138.92 Hawaiian Old Guys 95.08
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Teamy McTeam Face+23.8
+1.6
Replacement Squad-3.6
-0.1
Spazzy! Don't S-1.8
Brakebills Magi-1.0
Spazzy! Don't S 113.98 Skull Fuckers 141.62
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Teamy McTeam Face+0.2
Replacement Squad-0.7
Spazzy! Don't S-23.4
-1.6
Brakebills Magi+0.1
Bounty Punters 111.56 Fluffy Kittens 138.18
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Teamy McTeam Face+4.2
+0.1
Replacement Squad+3.3
+0.2
Spazzy! Don't S+2.9
+0.1
Brakebills Magi+1.7
Fluffy Kittens+0.6
Fantasy Reaper 109 Team B's Be Cra 111.3
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Teamy McTeam Face-3.1
-0.2
Replacement Squad-3.2
-0.2
Spazzy! Don't S-2.6
-0.1
Brakebills Magi-1.4
Cheat to Win 128.56 Brakebills Magi 127.5
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cheat to Win+0.3
Fighting Cephal-0.2
Teamy McTeam Face+0.9
+0.1
Replacement Squad+0.6
Spazzy! Don't S+0.8
+0.2
Brakebills MagiOut
-1.3
Week of 11/28
Replacement Squad vs Brakebills MagiIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Teamy McTeam Face50.353.765.6
6.46.35.9
Replacement Squad87.349.97.9
5.46.58.1
Spazzy! Don't S3.33.415.4
Brakebills Magi12.912.510.5
Fluffy Kittens12.612.613.1
Fighting Cephal vs Teamy McTeam FaceHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cheat to Win1.41.01.0
Fighting Cephal2.63.03.0
Teamy McTeam Face20.150.795.8
7.56.54.9
Replacement Squad54.449.940.9
6.56.67.0
Spazzy! Don't S14.93.83.9
9.09.49.4
Hawaiian Old Guys vs Skull FuckersHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Teamy McTeam Face65.553.950.3
5.96.36.4
Replacement Squad54.849.140.5
6.56.77.0
Spazzy! Don't S15.43.43.4
Brakebills Magi11.911.811.4
Fluffy Kittens13.112.612.6
Bounty Punters vs SEA-PHL DirectHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Teamy McTeam Face50.453.065.5
6.46.45.9
Replacement Squad41.7*47.853.7
7.06.86.5
Spazzy! Don't S3.23.315.5
9.39.39.1
Brakebills Magi11.411.811.9
Fluffy Kittens12.612.713.1
Team B's Be Cra vs Spazzy! Don't SHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Teamy McTeam Face60.059.955.7
6.26.26.1
Replacement Squad46.846.748.6
Spazzy! Don't SOutOut18.9
10.99.57.5
Brakebills Magi11.511.911.9
Fluffy Kittens12.712.912.9
Fantasy Reaper vs Moyers DestroyersHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Teamy McTeam Face60.160.155.5
6.06.06.3
Replacement Squad48.949.046.3
6.56.56.9
Spazzy! Don't S10.310.38.2
9.09.39.5
Brakebills Magi11.511.911.9
Fluffy Kittens12.712.912.9
Cheat to Win vs Fluffy KittensHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cheat to Win1.01.01.4
Fighting Cephal3.03.02.6
Spazzy! Don't S9.19.19.3
Brakebills Magi11.411.911.9
Fluffy Kittens13.812.511.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.