How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 5/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
National 5 Thrashers 1 -0.5
-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Friday, 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
National vs Thrashers-1.0-1.1InInIn
-0.5-0.4+0.1+0.4+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Thrashers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-WLTplayoffs123456789Count
126-000In96441,185
115-001In891152,762
105-010In7624239,373
4-002In762429,625
94-011In5743267,629
3-003In57438,668
84-020In3169600,077
3-012In3169118,293
2-004In33671,493
73-021In595531,926
2-013In59525,941
1-005In893120
63-030In7228799,084
2-022In7228178,070
1-014In72282,904
0-006In1004
52-031In4456532,110
1-023In455526,432
0-015In3961143
42-040In2575598,888
1-032In2575118,883
0-024In23771,508
31-041In1288266,246
0-033In12888,655
21-050In595239,679
0-042In59529,677
10-051In19953,402
00-060Out010041,163
Total:99.1%15252435014,813,940
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday, 5/12100.0*Lottery seed
National 5 Thrashers 1 +0.8
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Friday, 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
National vs Thrashers+1.0+0.9-0.1-0.8-0.9

What If

Bottom 3 teams in each division will be in a lottery for 1st overall pick.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-WLT123456789101112131415161718
126-000881210
115-001702630
105-0104540132
4-0024540131
94-0111941328
3-0031940328
84-0204204135
3-0124204234
2-0044204532
73-021011386
2-013011386
1-00511387
63-0303940183
2-0223841183
1-0144042162
0-0067525
52-0319334117
1-0239334117
0-0157334317
42-0402154142
1-0322154242
0-0242134243
31-041042769
0-033032769
21-050011386
0-042011486
10-0510496
00-0600199
Total:6810169141719001