SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Minnesota Timberwolves Playoff Chances 2038

Beat DEN 110-106, Beat LAL 110-100, Lost to SAS 96-107, playoff odds down 0.002 to 0%

33-44 .429

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
LAL 100 MIN 110			+0.5
MIN 110 DEN 106			+0.5
OKC 119 LAL 94	*Out
MIN 96 SAS 107			-0.5
DEN 104 UTA 113			-0.2
SAS 118 PHX 123			-0.1
POR 88 NJN 102			+0.1
PHX 105 NJN 108			+0.1
UTA 96 TOR 100			+0.1
UTA 114 SAS 108			-0.1
TOR 98 POR 85			+0.1
TOR 103 UTA 77			+0.1
SAC 106 CHI 108			+0.1
UTA 85 GSW 95			+0.1
WAS 114 SAC 103			+0.1
PHX 115 MIL 88			-0.1
ATL 109 PHX 102			+0.0
SAC 100 DAL 88			-0.0
GSW 110 PHX 101			+0.0

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
MIN vs WAS			+0.3-0.4
MIA vs MIN			-0.3+0.3
MIN vs HOU			+0.3-0.3
CHI vs MIN			-0.2+0.4
MIN vs GSW			+0.4-0.2
PHX vs PHI			-0.1+0.2
PHX vs CLE			-0.1+0.2
PHX vs DAL			-0.1+0.2
UTA vs BOS			-0.1+0.1
UTA vs LAL			-0.1+0.1
UTA vs DAL			-0.1+0.2
UTA vs DET			-0.2+0.1
OKC vs UTA			+0.1-0.2
DEN vs POR			+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the MIN finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

38		5	-	0	Out										100							19,416
37		4	-	1	Out										99	1						139,117
36		3	-	2	Out										81	19	0					378,937
35		2	-	3	Out										29	61	10					493,012
34		1	-	4	Out										4	40	52	4	0			304,806
33		0	-	5	Out										0	4	47	42	7			71,271

Total:					Out										44	35	17	3	0			1,406,559

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
LAL 100 MIN 110	-1.0
MIN 110 DEN 106	-1.0
MIN 96 SAS 107	+0.9
DEN 104 UTA 113	+0.2
SAS 118 PHX 123	+0.1
POR 88 NJN 102	-0.1
PHX 105 NJN 108	-0.1
UTA 96 TOR 100	-0.1
UTA 114 SAS 108	+0.1
TOR 98 POR 85	-0.1
SAC 106 CHI 108	-0.1
TOR 103 UTA 77	-0.1
MIL 116 ORL 92	-0.1
ORL 107 NYK 102	+0.1
UTA 85 GSW 95	-0.1
PHI 97 NYK 126	-0.1
ORL 109 NYK 101	+0.1
PHX 115 MIL 88	+0.0
ATL 109 PHX 102	-0.0
MIL 85 PHI 103	+0.0
SAC 100 DAL 88	+0.0
GSW 110 PHX 101	-0.0

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
MIA vs MIN	+1.0-1.0
MIN vs WAS	-0.6+0.9
MIN vs HOU	-0.8+0.7
CHI vs MIN	+0.5-1.0
MIN vs GSW	-1.0+0.4
NJN vs PHI	-0.1+0.2
PHX vs DAL	+0.1-0.2
OKC vs UTA	-0.1+0.2
UTA vs DET	+0.2-0.1
UTA vs LAL	+0.1-0.1
PHX vs CLE	+0.1-0.1
UTA vs DAL	+0.1-0.2
MIA vs DEN	+0.1-0.1
NJN vs ORL	-0.1+0.1
MIA vs CHI	+0.1-0.1
ORL vs CHI	+0.1-0.1
MIL vs BOS	-0.1+0.1
CLE vs ORL	-0.1+0.1
BOS vs NJN	+0.1-0.1
UTA vs BOS	+0.1-0.1
BOS vs NOH	+0.1-0.0
BOS vs GSW	+0.1-0.0

What If

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29

38		5	-	0																	55	33	12
37		4	-	1																	16	40	40	5	0
36		3	-	2																	1	11	48	34	6	0	0
35		2	-	3																		0	3	27	42	23	4	1	0
34		1	-	4																				0	5	30	46	17	1	0
33		0	-	5																					0	1	15	20	30	29	5

Total:																					3	7	18	19	17	15	12	5	2	1	0