SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Boston Celtics Playoff Chances 2038

Lost to GSW 85-107, playoff odds down 3.4 to 0.3%

35-42 .455

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
PHX 105 NJN 108	-1.5
POR 88 NJN 102	-1.5
GSW 107 BOS 85	-1.4		-0.1
CHI 110 NJN 111	-0.9
SAC 106 CHI 108	-0.4
NYK 121 CHI 124	-0.4
LAC 108 IND 98	+0.2
MEM 131 CHI 122	+0.1
CLE 106 PHI 92	*+0.1		+0.1
PHI 97 NYK 126			+0.1
MIL 85 PHI 103			-0.1
CLE 80 HOU 116			+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
BOS vs GSW	+0.8-0.3		+0.4-0.1
MIL vs IND	+0.6-0.2
BOS vs NOH	+0.5-0.3		+0.3-0.2
UTA vs BOS	-0.3+0.4		-0.2+0.3
BOS vs NJN	+0.3-0.3		+0.3-0.3
WAS vs IND	+0.2-0.3
MIL vs BOS	-0.3+0.2		-0.4+0.2
CHI vs MIN	-0.0+0.1
MIA vs CHI	+0.1-0.0
NJN vs PHI			+0.1-0.2
LAC vs CLE			+0.1-0.2
PHX vs CLE			+0.1-0.2
PHX vs PHI			+0.1-0.1
CLE vs TOR			-0.1+0.1
CLE vs NYK			-0.1+0.1
CLE vs ORL			-0.1+0.1
MIA vs DEN			-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the BOS finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

40		5	-	0	18.4	%							0	18	82							22,687
39		4	-	1	0.0									0	99	1						154,851
38		3	-	2	Out										89	11						401,661
37		2	-	3	Out										53	41	6	0				490,032
36		1	-	4	Out										9	41	37	13				278,630
35		0	-	5	Out											4	47	50	0			58,698

Total:					0.3	%							0	0	58	26	11	5	0			1,406,559

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
GSW 107 BOS 85	+0.1
PHI 97 NYK 126	-0.1
DEN 104 UTA 113	+0.1
MIL 85 PHI 103	+0.1
CLE 80 HOU 116	-0.1
UTA 96 TOR 100	-0.1
UTA 114 SAS 108	+0.1
LAL 100 MIN 110	+0.1
CLE 106 PHI 92	-0.1
TOR 103 UTA 77	-0.0
UTA 85 GSW 95	-0.0

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
UTA vs BOS	+0.4-0.6
MIL vs BOS	+0.6-0.3
BOS vs NJN	-0.4+0.5
BOS vs NOH	-0.5+0.3
BOS vs GSW	-0.6+0.2
PHX vs PHI	-0.1+0.2
NJN vs PHI	-0.1+0.2
PHX vs CLE	-0.1+0.2
LAC vs CLE	-0.1+0.2
CLE vs TOR	+0.1-0.1
CLE vs NYK	+0.1-0.1
CLE vs ORL	+0.1-0.1
OKC vs UTA	-0.0+0.1
UTA vs DET	+0.1-0.1
UTA vs LAL	+0.1-0.1
UTA vs DAL	+0.0-0.1
MIN vs GSW	+0.1-0.0
CHI vs MIN	-0.0+0.1
MIN vs HOU	+0.1-0.1
MIN vs WAS	+0.0-0.1
MIA vs DEN	+0.1-0.0

What If

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29

40		5	-	0														0		18	82
39		4	-	1																0	99	1
38		3	-	2																	88	12	0	0
37		2	-	3																	44	40	13	3	0	0
36		1	-	4																	6	18	28	29	16	2	0
35		0	-	5																	0	0	3	14	41	30	11	1

Total:																		0		0	54	21	10	7	5	2	0	0