Campeonato Brasileiro - Serie AA Title Chances 2019

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Libertadores			Chance will finish season at seed																						Serie B
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Flamengo	82		25	-	7	-	3	43	99.8	%	-0.1	Yes			100	0																			1.0		No			1	.737	Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Palmeiras	74		21	-	11	-	3	29	0.2		+0.1	Yes			0	99	1																		2.0	+0.08	No			2	.671	Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Santos	67		19	-	10	-	6	20	No			Yes				1	99																		3.0	-0.07	No			3	.613	Santos Futebol Clube
Gremio	57		16	-	9	-	10	21	No			95.7	%	+3.9				61	23	12	4	1													4.6	+0.17	No			6	.531	Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense

Athletico-PR	55		15	-	10	-	10	14	No			84.9		+7.0				20	39	26	11	4													5.4	+0.13	No			8	.514	Clube Athletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo	55		14	-	13	-	8	9	No			70.9		+1.5				17	24	30	20	9	0												5.8	+0.01	No			5	.514	Sao Paulo Futebol Clube

Internacional	52		14	-	10	-	11	5	No			28.6		-1.6				2	9	18	31	37	4	0	0										7.0	+0.03	No			7	.489	Sport Club Internacional
Corinthians	52		12	-	16	-	7	7	No			19.9		-10.6				1	5	14	34	41	5	1	0	0									7.3	-0.24	No			4	.489	Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Bahia	46		11	-	13	-	11	2	No			No		-0.1							0	4	35	22	18	13	8	0	0						10.2	-0.03	No			9	.440	Esporte Clube Bahia
Vasco da Gama	45		11	-	12	-	12	-6	No			No		-0.1							0	2	23	24	23	17	10	1	0	0					10.6	+0.06	No		-0.0	10	.431	Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Goias	45		12	-	9	-	14	-16	No			No		-0.0							0	1	13	21	22	21	19	1	0	0					11.1		No		-0.0	11	.431	Goias Esporte Clube
Fortaleza	44		12	-	8	-	15	-1	No			No		-0.0							0	1	15	21	20	22	18	3	0	0	0				11.1	+0.14	0.0	%	-0.0	12	.423	Fortaleza Esporte Clube
Atletico-MG	43		11	-	10	-	14	-5	No			No		-0.0							0	1	4	11	17	24	33	8	1	0	0	0			12.0	-0.08	0.0		-0.1	13	.415	Clube Atletico Mineiro
Ceara	38		10	-	8	-	17	-1	No			No												0	0	2	7	38	24	16	11	3			14.9	+0.38	13.4		-8.8	15	.373	Ceara Sporting Club
Cruzeiro	38		7	-	17	-	11	-10	No			No												0	0	0	2	20	28	26	17	6			15.5	-0.08	23.6		-1.7	16	.373	Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
Fluminense	36		9	-	9	-	17	-12	No			No													0	0	2	15	24	26	21	11			15.8	-0.26	32.8		+4.8	14	.357	Fluminense Football Club

Botafogo	35		10	-	5	-	20	-15	No			No														0	1	11	15	20	28	24	0		16.4	-0.12	52.7		+3.0	18	.349	Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
CSA	34		8	-	10	-	17	-27	No			No															0	3	7	13	22	55	1		17.2	-0.09	77.6		+2.8	17	.340	Centro Sportivo Alagoano
Chapecoense	27		5	-	12	-	18	-22	No			No																			0	1	99	0	19.0	-0.02	Yes		+0.1	19	.283	Associacao Chapecoense de Futebol
Avai	20		3	-	11	-	21	-35	No			No																					0	100	20.0		Yes			20	.225	Avai Futebol Clube

Week of 11/23
Fluminense 0 Palmeiras 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo	-0.1
Palmeiras	+0.1
Ceara					-2.1
Fluminense					+8.3		-0.4
Botafogo					-2.7

Palmeiras 1 Gremio 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Gremio			-3.9				-0.2

Flamengo 0 Ceara 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Ceara					-4.9		+0.2
Botafogo					+2.1

Corinthians 0 Avai 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Athletico-PR			+3.8
Sao Paulo			+3.6
Internacional			+2.9
Corinthians			-12.3				-0.4

Botafogo 0 Corinthians 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Athletico-PR			+2.5
Sao Paulo			+2.5
Internacional			+1.9
Corinthians			-8.2				-0.2
Ceara					-0.3
Cruzeiro					-0.4
Fluminense					-0.4
Botafogo					+1.4

Internacional 0 Goias 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Athletico-PR			+2.1
Sao Paulo			+2.4
Internacional			-7.6				-0.2
Corinthians			+1.9

Internacional 0 Fortaleza 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Athletico-PR			+2.1
Sao Paulo			+2.2
Internacional			-7.1				-0.2
Corinthians			+1.8

Ceara 0 Sao Paulo 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Athletico-PR			+1.5
Sao Paulo			-5.9				-0.2
Internacional			+1.7
Corinthians			+2.1
Ceara					-0.6
Botafogo					+0.3

Sao Paulo 0 Vasco da Gama 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Athletico-PR			+1.3
Sao Paulo			-5.1				-0.2
Internacional			+1.3
Corinthians			+2.0
Vasco da Gama			No		No

Atletico-MG 0 Athletico-PR 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Athletico-PR			-4.6				-0.2
Internacional			+1.4
Corinthians			+1.6

Athletico-PR 0 Gremio 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Gremio			+1.4
Athletico-PR			-2.0

Goias 0 Bahia 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Goias							-0.2

Bahia 0 Atletico-MG 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Bahia			-0.1				-0.2
Atletico-MG			No				-0.2

Fortaleza 0 Santos 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fortaleza			No

Chapecoense 0 Botafogo 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Ceara					-1.5
Cruzeiro					-1.9
Fluminense					-2.6
Botafogo					+7.6		-0.3
CSA					-1.5
Chapecoense					Yes

Cruzeiro 0 CSA 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Cruzeiro					+0.6		-0.2
CSA					+5.3		-0.2

CSA 0 Fluminense 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fluminense					+0.1
CSA					+5.2		-0.2

Santos 0 Cruzeiro 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Cruzeiro					-3.3
Botafogo					+1.0
CSA					+0.7

Week of 11/30
Flamengo vs AvaiIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo	YesYes96.8
Palmeiras	NoNo3.2

Palmeiras vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo	99.3YesYes
Palmeiras	0.7NoNo

Palmeiras vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo	99.6YesYes
Palmeiras	0.4NoNo

Sao Paulo vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo			94.971.441.7				5.15.96.6
Internacional			5.922.660.3				7.67.26.2

Gremio vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Gremio			99.997.689.4				4.14.55.2
Sao Paulo			55.070.889.7				6.45.95.0
Internacional			35.126.922.3				7.07.17.1

Botafogo vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Athletico-PR			88.987.281.4				5.35.35.5
Sao Paulo			78.974.864.2				5.75.75.9
Internacional			11.419.543.6				7.67.36.6
Fortaleza					0.0*NoNo
Cruzeiro					32.322.818.7		15.815.515.4
Fluminense					42.432.926.9		16.115.815.7
Botafogo					25.154.068.6		15.516.416.9
CSA					83.176.974.6		17.417.217.1

Atletico-MG vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Athletico-PR			90.087.179.6				5.35.45.5
Sao Paulo			75.273.366.1				5.75.85.9
Internacional			32.730.224.5				6.97.07.2
Corinthians			4.512.836.2				7.87.46.8
Atletico-MG					No0.00.0		11.012.212.6

Ceara vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Athletico-PR			90.187.480.1				5.35.45.5
Sao Paulo			75.373.566.6				5.75.75.9
Internacional			32.830.424.9				6.87.07.2
Corinthians			4.212.034.5				7.87.46.8
Fortaleza					0.0*NoNo
Ceara					1.410.722.8		14.114.915.4
Botafogo					57.054.249.1		16.516.416.2

Ceara vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Athletico-PR			68.881.096.7				6.05.64.9
Internacional			33.329.525.3				6.97.07.1
Corinthians			26.321.415.1				7.17.27.4
Fortaleza					0.0*NoNo		11.211.111.1
Ceara					1.310.422.2		14.014.915.4
Botafogo					57.054.249.4		16.516.416.2

Athletico-PR vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Athletico-PR			97.785.375.5				4.85.55.8
Corinthians			14.719.823.6				7.47.37.2

Gremio vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Gremio			99.595.687.9				4.34.75.1
Fortaleza					No*0.00.0
Cruzeiro					35.919.42.6		16.015.514.6
Fluminense					29.533.338.8		15.715.816.1
Botafogo					49.154.758.2		16.216.416.6
CSA					74.578.383.2		17.117.217.4

Avai vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Ceara					9.011.017.0		14.714.815.0
Cruzeiro					17.420.828.5		15.315.415.7
Fluminense					58.542.913.2		16.616.215.2
Botafogo					43.849.259.5		16.116.316.5
CSA					71.276.181.9		17.017.217.3

Atletico-MG vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fortaleza					No*No0.0		11.311.011.0
Atletico-MG					NoNo0.0		11.212.412.7
Cruzeiro					18.422.432.0		15.415.515.7
Fluminense					26.532.342.1		15.715.816.0
Botafogo					69.955.426.2		16.916.515.5
CSA					74.476.682.9		17.117.217.4

Fluminense vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fortaleza					0.0*NoNo		11.911.310.4
Ceara					17.812.510.2		15.014.814.7
Cruzeiro					29.222.819.5		15.815.515.4
Fluminense					9.634.750.5		15.016.016.4
Botafogo					60.652.146.6		16.616.316.2
CSA					82.777.973.2		17.317.217.1

CSA vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Cruzeiro					30.922.719.0		15.715.515.4
Fluminense					39.631.028.9		16.015.815.7
Botafogo					59.051.049.2		16.616.316.2
CSA					53.783.191.4		16.517.417.6

Vasco da Gama vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fortaleza					No*0.00.0		11.311.111.0
Cruzeiro					39.621.83.0		16.115.614.7
Fluminense					28.532.638.7		15.715.816.1
Botafogo					48.054.258.1		16.216.416.5
CSA					73.6*77.683.1		17.117.217.3

Chapecoense vs CSAHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Cruzeiro					18.421.529.1		15.415.515.7
Fluminense					28.430.137.9		15.715.816.0
Botafogo					48.750.257.5		16.216.316.5
CSA					93.386.359.6		17.717.516.7

Goias vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Goias							10.211.412.1
Fortaleza							12.011.210.1

Bahia vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Bahia							9.410.311.1
Vasco da Gama							11.410.79.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Campeonato Brasileiro - Serie AA Title Chances 2019

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