Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsOdds of winning championshipChance will finish regular season at seedOdds of getting last
PGW-OTLTGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Trey Reed99-030162.2In90.7%+49.89191.1+0.55No1.717Trey Reed
Nick Treado88-04014.9In9.3-49.3948422.3-0.85No2.645Nick Treado
Cary McMichael66-0601.186.7%+28.7No251943135.5+0.78No3.500Cary McMichael
Alex Valley55-07049.525.5+21.9No520205507.7+0.84No-3.54.428Alex Valley
Roger Harman55-070-74.2Out-21.1No2921508.2-0.77No-2.46.428Roger Harman

Don't get last

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/21
Cary McMichael 113 Roger Harman 82.5
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Nick TreadoIn
Cary McMichael+28.8
-3.0
+1.0
Alex Valley+0.2
+1.8
-0.1
Roger Harman-32.2
+1.2
-1.1
Brandon McMichael 84.8 Tom Reed 124
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey Reed+1.4
+0.1
Nick Treado+0.4
+0.2
Cary McMichael-2.2
+0.2
-0.1
Alex Valley-0.8
-0.1
Roger Harman-8.0
+0.2
-0.1
Austin Harman 74.9 Alex Valley 132.3
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Cary McMichael-0.2
-1.5
+0.0
Alex Valley+1.8
-32.5
+0.5
Roger Harman-0.2
-0.1
-0.0
Aaron McMichael 40.3 James Quinly 117.6
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Nick TreadoIn
-0.0
Cary McMichael+1.1
-0.1
+0.0
Alex Valley-0.1
-0.1
Roger Harman+0.8
Nick Treado 125.3 Trey Reed 71.7
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey Reed-32.2
-0.4
Nick TreadoIn
+31.6
+0.7
Roger Harman*No
Week of 11/28
Tom Reed 67.8 Cary McMichael 100.8
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Cary McMichael+31.9
+0.9
Alex Valley+0.9
Roger Harman-5.6
-0.0
Roger Harman 107.1 Trey Reed 141
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey Reed+12.2
+0.2
Nick Treado-11.8
-0.1
Cary McMichael+6.0
+0.1
Alex Valley+0.1
Roger Harman-15.0
+0.9
-0.5
Alex Valley 116 Nick Treado 71
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey Reed+34.8
+0.3
Nick Treado-36.3
-0.6
Cary McMichael-6.6
-0.2
Alex Valley+12.9
No
+0.6
Roger Harman-1.0
-0.1
Aaron McMichael 116 Brandon McMichael 89.8
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Cary McMichael-5.3
-0.1
Alex Valley-0.8
Roger Harman-5.7
-0.2
James Quinly 97.9 Austin Harman 74
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Nick Treado-0.2
-0.0
Cary McMichael-0.2
-0.1
Alex Valley+0.2
No
+0.0
Roger Harman-0.1
No
-0.0
Week of 12/5
Roger Harman vs Alex ValleyIf winner is:HomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Cary McMichaelInIn73.4
5.35.35.6
Alex ValleyOutOut51.1
9.08.06.5
Roger Harman7.49.09.0
Tom Reed vs Aaron McMichaelHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Cary McMichaelInIn76.8
5.24.55.6
Alex Valley9.736.537.4
8.07.57.5
Roger Harman8.58.08.0
Austin Harman vs Brandon McMichaelHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Cary McMichaelInIn81.5
4.94.95.7
Alex Valley43.142.818.6
7.47.47.9
Trey Reed vs Cary McMichaelHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey ReedYes76.867.1
1.01.21.3
Nick TreadoNo23.232.9
2.42.22.1
Cary McMichael81.584.1In
6.05.94.1
Alex Valley32.429.98.1
7.67.78.1
James Quinly vs Nick TreadoHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey ReedYesYes83.8
1.01.01.2
Nick TreadoNoNo16.2
3.02.01.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.