Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsOdds of winning championshipChance will finish regular season at seedOdds of getting last
PGW-OTLTGD%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
TIm Frerichs99-020166.999.6%+2.543.2%+3.3433716301.8+0.15No1TIm Frerichs
Nick Treado99-020271.799.6+2.042.4-2.6423816301.8+0.04No2Nick Treado
Brian Yonish66-0502.534.6+8.4No-0.2182622201264205.4+0.85No-0.95Brian Yonish
Brent Kitchen55-060-55.78.0-16.4No-0.21713191916128507.1-0.720.4%-0.57Brent Kitchen
Curtis Bolduc44-070-110.91.0-5.5No146121818191658.8-0.554.8-0.98Curtis Bolduc
Alex Koma22-090-154.5Out-0.0No0258206511.4-0.2164.6+5.612Alex Koma

Don't get last

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/21
Brian Yonish 100 Taylor Thomson 95.5
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
TIm Frerichs-0.6
Nick Treado-0.5
Brian Yonish+13.9
+0.2
-0.9
+1.0
Brent Kitchen-2.7
-0.2
-0.1
Curtis Bolduc-1.0
-0.6
Alex Koma-6.2
+0.1
Brent Kitchen 84.6 Samuel Cortes 111.7
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
TIm Frerichs-0.3
-0.1
-0.0
Nick Treado-0.2
-0.1
-0.0
Brian Yonish+0.1
Brent Kitchen-15.5
No
+0.9
-1.1
Curtis Bolduc+0.3
-0.1
+0.0
Alex Koma-0.1
Curtis Bolduc 87.4 Austin Harman 129.6
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
TIm Frerichs-3.3
-0.1
Nick Treado-3.6
-0.1
Brian Yonish-1.1
-0.1
-0.1
+0.0
Brent Kitchen-0.9
-0.1
-0.1
Curtis Bolduc-5.6
+4.3
-0.9
Alex Koma-2.1
+0.1
Alex Koma 84.6 Dan Bowman 86.8
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
TIm Frerichs-0.5
Nick Treado-0.4
Brian Yonish-2.0
-0.5
-0.1
Brent Kitchen-1.9
-0.6
-0.1
Curtis Bolduc-0.8
-2.6
Alex KomaOut
+16.0
-0.4
TIm Frerichs 131.1 Drew Tabor 89.8
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
TIm Frerichs+2.9
+14.0
+0.4
Nick Treado-10.0
-0.1
Brian Yonish+0.3
-0.1
-0.1
+0.1
Brent Kitchen+0.3
-0.1
+0.1
Curtis Bolduc+0.3
-0.6
+0.1
Alex Koma-2.0
+0.1
Nick Treado 79.5 Michael Gowen 54
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
TIm Frerichs+0.2
-10.1
-0.1
Nick Treado+2.3
+14.5
+0.3
Brian Yonish+0.2
-0.1
-0.1
+0.1
Brent Kitchen+0.5
-0.1
-0.1
+0.1
Curtis Bolduc+0.3
-0.5
+0.1
Alex Koma-2.0
+0.1
Week of 11/28
Brian Yonish vs Dan BowmanIf winner is:HomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
TIm Frerichs99.5In99.6
Nick Treado99.5In99.6
Brian Yonish57.2*33.911.9
4.55.26.3
Brent Kitchen6.8*7.69.3
7.27.37.1
Curtis Bolduc0.90.41.2
8.89.08.9
Curtis Bolduc vs Samuel CortesHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
TIm FrerichsInIn99.2
Nick TreadoInIn99.1
Brian Yonish40.536.428.6
5.35.45.5
Brent Kitchen10.1*7.76.0
0.5*0.40.3
Curtis Bolduc2.1OutOut
0.51.29.1
7.99.09.7
Alex Koma67.067.562.2
11.511.511.3
Brent Kitchen vs Taylor ThomsonHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Brian Yonish32.536.036.7
5.55.45.3
Brent Kitchen14.73.81.4
NoNo0.7
6.27.18.0
Curtis Bolduc0.7*0.91.4
4.4*5.05.2
Alex Koma57.068.672.2
11.311.511.5
Nick Treado vs Austin HarmanHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
TIm Frerichs34.447.152.0
Nick TreadoInIn99.1
63.9*42.720.9
1.41.72.3
Brian Yonish36.132.633.1
5.45.55.5
Brent Kitchen8.6*7.57.5
TIm Frerichs vs Michael GowenHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
TIm FrerichsInIn99.2
59.1*42.427.3
1.51.72.1
Nick Treado99.5*99.599.6
30.7*43.254.1
2.01.81.7
Brian Yonish34.6*35.134.5
5.45.45.5
Brent Kitchen8.2*8.07.9
0.2*0.40.5
7.07.17.3
Curtis Bolduc1.1*1.11.0
4.2*5.05.4
8.7*8.99.0
Alex Koma61.867.167.4
11.311.511.5
Alex Koma vs Drew TaborHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Brian Yonish34.9*35.134.2
5.35.45.5
Brent Kitchen8.2*8.27.9
0.7NoNo
7.07.17.3
Curtis Bolduc1.1*1.20.9
7.52.62.1
8.78.78.9
Alex Koma45.875.283.5
11.011.711.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.