Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsOdds of winning championshipChance will finish regular season at seedOdds of getting last
PGW-OTLTGD%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Austin Harman88-03031.893.9%+9.114.4%+0.2142243145102.8+0.32No3Austin Harman
Samuel Cortes66-05013.933.7+7.1No-0.5292326201163105.3+0.87No-0.54Samuel Cortes
Dan Bowman66-05010.128.0+5.1No-0.1072121201775205.7+0.82No-1.26Dan Bowman
Drew Tabor44-070-43.61.0-5.6No147131818201268.7-0.535.8%-0.610Drew Tabor
Michael Gowen44-070-10.70.6-5.5No136111920211378.9-0.706.7+0.49Michael Gowen
Taylor Thomson33-080-121.5Out-1.0No01681420341810.2-0.3517.8-1.211Taylor Thomson

Don't get last

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/21
Alex Koma 84.6 Dan Bowman 86.8
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Austin Harman-1.9
-0.1
Samuel Cortes-2.5
-0.3
-0.1
Dan Bowman+12.4
+0.1
No
+1.0
Drew Tabor-1.1
-2.2
Michael Gowen-0.9
-2.1
Taylor Thomson-0.3
-6.4
Brent Kitchen 84.6 Samuel Cortes 111.7
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Austin Harman-0.2
Samuel Cortes+16.6
+0.5
-0.5
+1.1
Dan Bowman-0.6
-0.0
Drew Tabor-0.3
Michael Gowen+0.1
-0.1
Taylor Thomson-0.1
+0.0
Curtis Bolduc 87.4 Austin Harman 129.6
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Austin Harman+10.9
+7.4
+0.6
Samuel Cortes-1.3
-0.3
+0.0
Dan Bowman-1.2
-0.1
-0.1
Drew Tabor-0.3
-0.6
+0.1
Michael Gowen-0.3
-0.6
+0.1
Taylor Thomson-0.1
-0.7
+0.1
Brian Yonish 100 Taylor Thomson 95.5
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Austin Harman-2.3
-0.1
Samuel Cortes-2.6
-0.1
-0.1
Dan Bowman-2.0
-0.4
-0.0
Drew Tabor-0.7
-1.2
Michael Gowen-0.6
-1.2
Taylor Thomson-1.0
+10.8
-0.8
TIm Frerichs 131.1 Drew Tabor 89.8
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Austin Harman+0.5
-3.5
-0.1
Samuel Cortes+0.3
-0.3
-0.1
+0.1
Dan Bowman+0.5
-0.1
-0.2
+0.1
Drew Tabor-5.3
+4.7
-0.9
Michael Gowen+0.1
-0.6
+0.1
Taylor Thomson+0.1
-1.2
+0.1
Nick Treado 79.5 Michael Gowen 54
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Austin Harman+0.6
-3.8
-0.1
Samuel Cortes+0.3
-0.3
-0.1
+0.1
Dan Bowman+0.4
-0.1
-0.2
+0.1
Drew Tabor+0.3
-0.6
+0.1
Michael Gowen-5.2
+4.8
-1.0
Taylor Thomson+0.1
-1.1
+0.1
Week of 11/28
Curtis Bolduc vs Samuel CortesIf winner is:HomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Austin Harman96.296.191.6
2.72.72.8
Samuel Cortes15.226.952.1
6.15.34.5
Dan Bowman33.631.822.5
5.65.65.8
Drew Tabor1.50.70.5
6.46.55.2
8.88.88.6
Michael Gowen0.90.40.3
7.3*6.86.1
9.09.08.8
Taylor Thomson18.4*17.617.1
10.310.210.1
Brian Yonish vs Dan BowmanHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Austin Harman93.796.694.1
2.82.62.7
Samuel Cortes32.9*33.834.5
5.35.45.3
Dan Bowman7.526.848.6
6.65.44.8
Drew Tabor1.20.50.8
8.78.98.7
Michael Gowen0.70.20.5
8.99.08.9
Nick Treado vs Austin HarmanHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Austin Harman88.299.399.6
1.710.127.1
3.32.72.2
Samuel Cortes35.432.031.9
5.25.45.3
Dan Bowman29.526.326.6
5.75.85.8
Brent Kitchen vs Taylor ThomsonHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Austin Harman93.294.694.5
Samuel Cortes31.7*34.235.6
5.45.25.2
Dan Bowman26.729.529.4
5.85.65.6
Drew Tabor0.91.31.1
4.45.27.2
Michael Gowen0.4*0.50.8
5.25.78.2
Taylor Thomson29.015.56.5
10.910.59.5
Alex Koma vs Drew TaborHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Samuel Cortes33.9*33.633.4
5.25.25.3
Dan Bowman28.2*27.927.9
5.65.75.8
Drew TaborOutOut2.0
11.61.3No
9.68.97.8
Michael Gowen0.7*0.70.5
9.44.73.9
8.88.89.0
Taylor Thomson25.016.210.5
TIm Frerichs vs Michael GowenHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Austin Harman93.8*93.793.9
10.2*14.418.6
2.92.82.7
Dan Bowman5.75.75.8
Drew Tabor1.1*1.11.0
5.06.36.5
8.68.88.9
Michael GowenOutOut1.2
12.61.90.8
9.88.98.1
Taylor Thomson16.219.319.3
10.010.310.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.