Dan Bowman Playoff Chances 2017
Beat Alex Koma 86.8-84.6, playoff odds up 4.7 to 33.9%
6 points 6-0 5 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Odds of getting last | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Alex Koma 84.6 Dan Bowman 86.8 | +6.1 | No | +0.4 | |||
| Brian Yonish 100 Taylor Thomson 95.5 | -2.5 | -0.1 | ||||
| Brent Kitchen 84.6 Samuel Cortes 111.7 | +1.7 | -0.0 | ||||
| Curtis Bolduc 87.4 Austin Harman 129.6 | -0.6 | |||||
| TIm Frerichs 131.1 Drew Tabor 89.8 | +0.4 | +0.0 | ||||
| Nick Treado 79.5 Michael Gowen 54 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Odds of getting last | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Brian Yonish vs Dan Bowman | -25.4-2.1+25.4 | -0.7+0.2+0.7 | ||||
| Curtis Bolduc vs Samuel Cortes | +4.2+3.8-2.3 | +0.1+0.2-0.1 | ||||
| Brent Kitchen vs Taylor Thomson | -1.0+1.7+2.0 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Nick Treado vs Austin Harman | +0.3*-0.5-0.5 | |||||
| Alex Koma vs Drew Tabor | +0.1*+0.3-0.0 | |||||
| TIm Frerichs vs Michael Gowen | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Dan Bowman finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Odds of | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Odds of | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | T | playoffs | winning championship | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | getting last | Count | |||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.4 | % | No | 0 | 22 | 76 | 3 | No | 8,547,918 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 85.2 | No | 4 | 81 | 14 | 0 | No | 45,133 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 36.5 | No | 1 | 36 | 48 | 15 | 1 | No | 19,578,547 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 52.4 | No | 52 | 43 | 5 | No | 84 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14.4 | No | 14 | 51 | 30 | 4 | No | 68,305 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.1 | No | 1 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 4 | 0 | No | 14,524,001 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | Out | No | 18 | 50 | 33 | No | 40 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 19 | 65 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 25,046 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 42 | 26 | 6 | 0 | No | 3,491,110 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 33.9 | % | No | 0 | 4 | 30 | 25 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 46,280,184 | |||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:52 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
