"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 2/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Saints vs Moose-0.1+0.2In
-0.2+0.2+0.8
Heat vs OCHC-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Kings vs Ducks+0.3+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 2/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Leafs vs Moose-0.9+0.1In
-0.9-0.4+0.2
IceHawks vs Reign+0.1*-0.0-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Reign vs OCHC-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Ducks vs Saints-0.2-0.0+0.1
Oilers vs Heat-0.1+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Moose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs1234567891011Count
193-0-0In08731801,065,324
182-0-1In01455221,370,825
172-1-0In031591006,898,012
1-0-2In0226512407,353
161-1-1In04494073,217,834
0-0-3In34742834,655
151-2-0In121522614,898,141
0-1-2In12053250349,474
140-2-1100.0%12560140957,284
130-3-095.70342504710,142
Total:99.8%00194025123019,909,044
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs