Suffolk Varsity Football Playoff Chances 2017

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

SWR		3	-	1	-	0	.750	91	98.4	%	+17.5	30	52	13	5	1	0	0	0	0	0		2.0	+1.05	2	.832	Shoreham-Wading River Wildcats
Mt. Sinai		4	-	0	-	0	1.000	51	97.9		+9.0	60	20	14	4	2	0	0	0				1.7	+0.74	1	.795	Mt. Sinai Mustangs
Glenn		3	-	1	-	0	.750	21	80.0		-8.5	7	16	36	21	16	3	1	0	0	0		3.4	-0.84	3	.609	Glenn Knights
Wyandanch	1	2	-	1	-	0	.667	18	47.8		-21.3	3	6	16	22	23	16	10	3	1	0	0	4.6	-1.00	8	.601	Wyandanch Warriors
Babylon		2	-	2	-	0	.500	33	36.7		-22.0	0	6	7	23	29	18	12	3	1	0	0	5.0	-0.89	5	.659	Babylon Panthers
GSM		2	-	2	-	0	.500	32	30.2		+18.6	0	1	12	17	15	33	14	7	1	0	0	5.4	+0.51	10	.670	Greenport-Southold-Mattituck Porters
Center Moriches		2	-	2	-	0	.500	-14	7.7		+6.7	0	0	1	7	12	17	34	18	8	2	0	6.7	+1.26	6	.419	Center Moriches Red Devils
BBP	1	1	-	2	-	0	.333	-38	1.0		+0.8	0	0	0	1	2	5	9	27	27	16	14	8.7	+0.83	4	.320	Bayport-Blue Point Phantoms
Southampton		1	-	3	-	0	.250	-46	0.3		-0.4			0	0	1	5	16	21	29	26	3	8.6	-0.64	9	.260	Southampton Mariners
Port Jefferson	1	0	-	3	-	0	.000	-48	0.0				0	0	0	0	1	4	18	20	29	28	9.5	+0.09	7	.286	Port Jefferson Royals
Hampton Bays	1	0	-	3	-	0	.000	-100	0.0		-0.3		0	0	0	0	0	1	4	14	27	55	10.3	-1.12	11	.200	Hampton Bays Baymen

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 9/29
Wyandanch 34 BBP 35
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SWR	+4.8		+0.2
Mt. Sinai	+2.2		+0.1
Glenn	+2.7		+0.2
Wyandanch	-19.4		-0.9
Babylon	+4.5		+0.1
GSM	+3.1		+0.0
Center Moriches	+0.8		-0.1
BBP	+0.8		+0.8
Southampton	+0.3		-0.2
Port Jefferson			-0.1
Hampton Bays	+0.1		-0.2

Babylon 8 Mt. Sinai 11
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SWR	+0.6		-0.1
Mt. Sinai	+9.1		+0.6
Glenn	+1.7
Wyandanch	+1.4
Babylon	-14.1		-0.6
GSM	+1.2		+0.0
Center Moriches	+0.1
Southampton	+0.1

SWR 40 Glenn 6
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SWR	+11.0		+0.6
Mt. Sinai	-1.5		-0.0
Glenn	-6.5		-0.6
Wyandanch	-1.4		-0.0
Babylon	-3.2		-0.0
GSM	+1.8		+0.0
Center Moriches	-0.1

GSM 28 Southampton 23
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SWR	-0.4		-0.0
Mt. Sinai	-0.1
Glenn	-0.9		-0.0
Wyandanch	+0.2
Babylon	-0.2		-0.0
GSM	+1.7		+0.2
Center Moriches			-0.0
BBP			+0.0
Southampton	-0.4		-0.2
Port Jefferson			+0.0
Hampton Bays			+0.0

Center Moriches 33 Hampton Bays 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SWR	+0.1
Mt. Sinai	-0.1
Glenn	+0.1
Wyandanch	-0.1
Babylon	-0.3
GSM	-0.2		-0.1
Center Moriches	+0.8		+0.8
Southampton			+0.1
Port Jefferson			-0.1
Hampton Bays	-0.3		-0.7

Week of 10/6
Wyandanch vs BabylonIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SWR	98.099.098.9		1.91.82.0
Mt. Sinai	98.1*97.597.7		1.81.71.6
Glenn	75.082.584.8		3.53.33.3
Wyandanch	84.033.011.9		3.64.95.7
Babylon	7.248.165.8		5.84.84.1
GSM	30.934.729.5		5.55.25.4
Center Moriches	5.44.310.0		6.86.96.7
BBP			8.88.88.7

Glenn vs GSMHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SWR	98.298.098.6
Mt. Sinai	98.798.897.2
Glenn	99.290.661.1		2.83.13.9
Wyandanch	47.945.047.6		4.64.94.7
Babylon	43.941.929.6		4.84.95.1
GSM	0.520.159.2		6.45.34.5
Center Moriches	10.64.95.0		6.66.96.9
BBP	0.50.41.5		8.78.88.8
Southampton	0.5*0.30.1

Southampton vs Center MorichesHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Mt. Sinai	98.398.497.7
Glenn	79.7*79.680.1
Wyandanch	49.551.046.7		4.54.54.7
Babylon	39.439.235.0		4.94.95.0
GSM	31.5*30.729.4		5.35.35.5
Center Moriches	1.31.611.7		7.76.96.1
BBP			8.98.88.6
Southampton	0.70.00.0		7.68.89.2
Port Jefferson			9.79.69.5
Hampton Bays			10.410.310.3

SWR vs Hampton BaysHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SWR	98.997.589.6		1.92.12.8
Mt. Sinai	97.9*97.898.6		1.7*1.71.4
Glenn	80.081.379.2		3.43.13.2
Wyandanch	47.7*47.549.6		4.6*4.64.5
Babylon	36.4*36.542.0		5.05.04.9
GSM	30.1*30.531.3
BBP	1.0*1.01.3		8.78.79.0
Southampton			8.68.98.8
Hampton Bays	0.0*Out0.3		10.39.99.6

Port Jefferson vs BBPHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Glenn	80.2*80.079.7
Wyandanch	48.1*47.947.4
GSM	30.4*30.130.0		5.45.45.5
Center Moriches			6.76.76.8
BBP	0.10.22.0		9.68.47.8
Port Jefferson	0.0*OutOut		8.99.910.2
Hampton Bays			10.210.410.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Luke Millner for adding this league.