How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WeathervaneRangers 6 Bruins 3 In
+0.4
+0.7
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Ticklefight vs Cashholes-0.3+0.4+0.3
LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth+0.3*+0.0-0.3
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.3+0.1-0.2
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth+0.4+0.2-0.1
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth+0.4+0.1-0.1
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth+0.4+0.1-0.1
Cougars vs NattyBeavers+0.2+0.3-0.2
HighWide vs NESHLSouth+0.1+0.1-0.2
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad-0.1*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop+2.1+1.1-0.7
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop+2.1+1.3-0.3
Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers+1.3+0.2-0.7
WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets+0.3-1.1No
+0.1-0.3-0.7
Cougars vs SouthKnights-0.5+0.3+0.8
GoonSquad vs Ticklefight+0.5+0.3-0.3
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight+0.5+0.4-0.1
Squires vs NESHLSouth+0.2-0.1-0.4
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.4*+0.1-0.2
FightingSioux vs HighWide+0.2+0.2-0.1
Cashholes vs IceFortune-0.0+0.1+0.1
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Chiefs vs SurgeSouth*+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the WeathervaneRangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChowderChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsCup123456789101112131415161718192021Count
1020-00In2.0%964877,515
910-01In0.07525236,050
811-00InNo325890370,052
00-02InNo52461015,702
701-01InNo23247181047,930
602-00InNo052440237130,431
Total:In1.1%7321410001,577,680
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Why are you looking down here? We just made the playoffs!

Big Games

Week of 5/23100.0*Lottery seed
WeathervaneRangers 6 Bruins 3 -2.9
If winner is:HomeTieAway
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth-0.2-0.1+0.1
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth-0.2-0.1+0.1
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth-0.2-0.1+0.1
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth-0.2-0.0+0.1
LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth-0.1-0.0+0.1
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle+0.1-0.1-0.1
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad+0.1-0.0-0.1
GLP vs Chiefs+0.1-0.1-0.2
HighWide vs NESHLSouth+0.1-0.1-0.1
IceAge vs Wolfhounds-0.1-0.0+0.0
Ticklefight vs Cashholes+0.0-0.1-0.0
Cougars vs NattyBeavers+0.0+0.1-0.0
TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Lottery seed
WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets-0.7+1.9+4.4
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop-0.5-0.1+0.1
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop-0.5-0.2+0.1
GoonSquad vs Ticklefight-0.3-0.1+0.1
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight-0.3-0.2+0.1
Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers-0.2-0.1+0.1
FightingSioux vs HighWide-0.2-0.1+0.1
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth-0.2-0.0+0.1
Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers-0.1+0.2+0.1
Cashholes vs IceFortune+0.1-0.1-0.2
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle+0.1-0.1-0.1
Squires vs NESHLSouth-0.1+0.0+0.2
GLP vs Cyclones+0.0-0.1-0.2
Chiefs vs SurgeSouth-0.1-0.1+0.1
Cougars vs SouthKnights+0.1-0.1-0.1
Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940
1020-002122730197200
910-010031224272093100
811-0000131119221813841000
00-02015142222161063100
701-0100138141921171151000
602-000002510151717151162100
Total:1716191511875322111000000000