Haulers Playoff Chances 2017Did not play, playoff odds down 0.01 to 99.8% 4 points 2 1-0 0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 5/23 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed | Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle | In+0.2-0.3 | | +0.4-0.4No | | +0.6-0.0-0.9 | | TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth | -0.2*+0.0+0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | | | LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Ticklefight vs Cashholes | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | Cyclones vs NESHLSouth | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | | RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.0 | | | | GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | Cougars vs NattyBeavers | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | HighWide vs NESHLSouth | | | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 5/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed | Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | +0.4-0.4No | | +0.6-0.0-0.9 | | WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets | +0.0*-0.0-0.3 | | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.2+0.3 | | Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers | +0.0+0.0-0.2 | | | | -0.1+0.2+0.1 | | Brewskis vs TwistedWristers | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop | | | +0.7+0.4-0.2 | | | | Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop | | | +0.7+0.4-0.1 | | | | Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers | | | +0.5+0.1-0.2 | | | | Cougars vs SouthKnights | | | -0.2+0.1+0.3 | | | | GoonSquad vs Ticklefight | | | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | | | | ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight | | | +0.2+0.1-0.0 | | | | Squires vs NESHLSouth | | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | FightingSioux vs HighWide | | | +0.1+0.1-0.0 | | | | Cashholes vs IceFortune | | | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Haulers finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chowder | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | Cup | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 1.8 | % | 54 | 46 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 339,788 | | 9 | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0.0 | | 33 | 67 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 172,145 | | 8 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | No | 5 | 55 | 39 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 538,669 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | In | No | 5 | 54 | 41 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 29,462 | | 7 | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | No | 0 | 16 | 50 | 31 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 174,430 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | In | No | 0 | 24 | 55 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,579 | | 6 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | % | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 51 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 246,319 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | In | No | 0 | 2 | 15 | 48 | 29 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13,777 | | 5 | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 99.9 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 15 | 39 | 35 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 35,921 | | 4 | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 88.6 | | No | | | | | 8 | 38 | 43 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25,590 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 99.8 | % | 0.4 | % | 17 | 39 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,577,680 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 5/23 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle | -2.8+0.3+3.8 | | LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | GLP vs Chiefs | +0.1-0.1-0.3 | | CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | | TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | | Cyclones vs NESHLSouth | -0.2-0.0+0.1 | | RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth | -0.2-0.0+0.1 | | IceAge vs Wolfhounds | -0.2-0.1+0.1 | | TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth | -0.2-0.1+0.1 | | HighWide vs NESHLSouth | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | | GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | | Hogbuffs vs IceFortune | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Cougars vs NattyBeavers | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Ticklefight vs Cashholes | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 5/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle | -2.8+0.3+3.8 | | GLP vs Cyclones | +0.1-0.2-0.3 | | Cashholes vs IceFortune | +0.1-0.1-0.3 | | ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight | -0.3-0.1+0.1 | | Chiefs vs SurgeSouth | -0.2-0.1+0.1 | | WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets | +0.0-0.2-0.3 | | Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop | -0.2-0.1+0.0 | | Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | | GoonSquad vs Ticklefight | -0.2-0.0+0.1 | | Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | | CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | FightingSioux vs HighWide | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | | Cougars vs SouthKnights | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 29 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 23 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 22 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | |
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