How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyleIn+0.2-0.3
+0.4-0.4No
+0.6-0.0-0.9
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth-0.2*+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs+0.1-0.0-0.1
LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth-0.1-0.1+0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers-0.0+0.1+0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Ticklefight vs Cashholes-0.1+0.1+0.1
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth+0.1+0.0-0.1
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth+0.1*+0.0-0.0
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Cougars vs NattyBeavers+0.1+0.1-0.1
HighWide vs NESHLSouth+0.0*+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.4-0.4No
+0.6-0.0-0.9
WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets+0.0*-0.0-0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.3
Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers+0.0+0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.2+0.1
Brewskis vs TwistedWristers+0.1+0.1-0.1
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop+0.7+0.4-0.2
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop+0.7+0.4-0.1
Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers+0.5+0.1-0.2
Cougars vs SouthKnights-0.2+0.1+0.3
GoonSquad vs Ticklefight+0.2+0.1-0.1
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight+0.2+0.1-0.0
Squires vs NESHLSouth+0.1-0.1-0.1
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.1+0.1-0.1
FightingSioux vs HighWide+0.1+0.1-0.0
Cashholes vs IceFortune-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Haulers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChowderChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsCup123456789101112131415161718192021Count
1030-00In1.8%5446339,788
920-01In0.03367172,145
821-00InNo555391538,669
10-02InNo55441029,462
711-01InNo016503120174,430
00-03InNo0245519101,579
612-00100.0%No01105132600246,319
01-02InNo021548296013,777
502-0199.9No00153935110035,921
403-0088.6No8384311125,590
Total:99.8%0.4%17392112721001,577,680
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Lottery seed
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle-2.8+0.3+3.8
LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth-0.2+0.1+0.2
GLP vs Chiefs+0.1-0.1-0.3
CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs+0.2+0.1-0.2
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad+0.1-0.1-0.2
TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers+0.1-0.1-0.2
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth-0.2-0.0+0.1
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth-0.2-0.0+0.1
IceAge vs Wolfhounds-0.2-0.1+0.1
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth-0.2-0.1+0.1
HighWide vs NESHLSouth+0.1+0.0-0.1
Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy+0.0-0.1-0.1
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth-0.1-0.0+0.1
ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers-0.1-0.0+0.1
FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles+0.0-0.1-0.1
Hogbuffs vs IceFortune+0.0-0.0-0.1
Cougars vs NattyBeavers+0.0+0.1-0.0
Ticklefight vs Cashholes-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Lottery seed
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle-2.8+0.3+3.8
GLP vs Cyclones+0.1-0.2-0.3
Cashholes vs IceFortune+0.1-0.1-0.3
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight-0.3-0.1+0.1
Chiefs vs SurgeSouth-0.2-0.1+0.1
WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets+0.0-0.2-0.3
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop-0.2-0.1+0.0
Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy+0.1-0.1-0.2
GoonSquad vs Ticklefight-0.2-0.0+0.1
Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers+0.1-0.1-0.1
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth-0.1-0.0+0.1
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop-0.1-0.1+0.0
CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish+0.1-0.0-0.1
FightingSioux vs HighWide-0.1-0.1+0.0
Cougars vs SouthKnights-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940
1030-0021125292110300
920-010028192724135100
821-0000141118201914841000
10-020014101720201584100
711-010002614212318104100
00-030381520231710310
612-000001381420211710520000
01-0200139151919161052000
502-0100027142022171152000
403-000013712161717139421000
Total:0267777888754444432111000000000000