"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis-12.2+8.1+18.7
-0.6+0.2+1.0
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth-6.3-1.7+2.2
-0.1-0.0+0.0
CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs+2.6-1.0-2.0
+0.2-0.0-0.2
LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth-2.2-1.0+2.4
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle+0.4-0.5-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers+0.1-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brewskis vs TwistedWristers+22.6+13.0-29.5
+0.9+0.1-1.1
WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets+0.7-1.5-4.9
+0.0-0.1-0.2
Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers+1.0-0.8-2.6
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle+0.3*-0.3-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Brewskis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChowderChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsCup123456789101112131415161718192021Count
830-00InNo959276028,838
720-01InNo01341396039,800
621-00100.0%No01836421310272,245
10-02InNo07394211114,808
511-0199.9No012453580183,915
00-03InNo013453481,586
412-0095.1No0120403550554,175
01-0295.5No011839374028,011
302-0166.8No11452303159,592
203-005.6No66233294,710
Total:77.2%No02392023201661,577,680
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Lottery seed
VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis+3.3-1.2-5.4
ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers-0.2+0.1+0.2
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.1-0.1
LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth+0.1+0.0-0.2
GLP vs Chiefs-0.1+0.1+0.2
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad-0.1+0.0+0.1
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.1-0.1
IceAge vs Wolfhounds+0.1+0.0-0.1
TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers-0.0+0.1+0.1
Hogbuffs vs IceFortune+0.0-0.1-0.1
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle-0.1+0.1+0.1
FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles-0.0+0.1+0.1
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth+0.1-0.0-0.0
Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.0+0.0+0.1
Rangers vs IceTurkeys-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Lottery seed
Brewskis vs TwistedWristers-3.9+0.2+4.5
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight+0.4+0.3-0.1
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop+0.3+0.1-0.1
GoonSquad vs Ticklefight+0.2+0.1-0.1
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop+0.3+0.1-0.0
Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers+0.2+0.1-0.1
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.1-0.1
WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets-0.0+0.2+0.1
Chiefs vs SurgeSouth+0.2+0.0-0.1
Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.1+0.0+0.1
CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish+0.1+0.0-0.1
FightingSioux vs HighWide+0.2+0.1-0.1
Squires vs NESHLSouth+0.1-0.0-0.2
Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers-0.1+0.1+0.1
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle-0.1+0.0+0.1
GLP vs Cyclones-0.0+0.0+0.1
Cougars vs SouthKnights-0.0+0.0+0.1
Cashholes vs IceFortune-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940
830-0000261318191713841000
720-0100015101822201472000
621-000000149152020161041000
10-02001491720201594100
511-01000141018232114731000
00-030015112124171352100
412-00000136111617171395200000
01-02001371216181713841000
302-010001361116181713841000
203-00000271522221710410
Total:00000000111123444445677764322344432100