Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-L-TGD%Change123456789101112Avg.ChangeRPI
Moscow2613-6-056.4In6425111.5+0.622Moscow Mighty Moose
Karlstad2512-6-162.8In2549252.0+0.141Karlstad Direwolves
Quebec2412-7-061.8In1125642.5-0.623Quebec Renards
Hidden Valley2010-9-040.1In+0.4492515924.9-0.295Hidden Valley Voltigeurs
Niagara Falls2010-9-0-23In+14.33829161345.2+1.254Niagara Falls Flyers
Providence189-10-0-9.287.1%+30.97201618261126.8+1.329Providence Marksmen
Wolfsburg189-10-01772.9-12.53111718252077.4-0.936Wolfsburg HC
Innsbruck189-10-0-35.760.3+13.821019171224167.6+0.658Innsbruck Flames
Happy Adventure189-10-0-2354.7-23.21517201226207.9-1.027Happy Adventure Sunshine
Amsterdam168-11-0-14.825.0-23.76192039169.4-1.1510Amsterdam Amstel Bevers
Manchester147-12-0-65Out168410.8+0.2711Manchester Steel
Etobicoke115-13-1-67.4Out10012.0-0.2412Etobicoke Nighthawks

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/11
Providence 39 Innsbruck 59
8:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Niagara Falls-1.8
Providence-16.7
-0.9
Wolfsburg-1.9
Innsbruck+22.3
+0.9
Happy Adventure-1.0
Amsterdam-0.6
Manchester-0.2
Etobicoke-0.2
Etobicoke 46.9 Amsterdam 52.7
8:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Niagara Falls-4.5
Providence-3.5
Wolfsburg-4.6
Innsbruck-4.1
Happy Adventure-1.5
Amsterdam+19.5
+0.8
Manchester-0.4
EtobicokeOut
-0.4
Happy Adventure 42.7 Wolfsburg 47.5
8:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Niagara Falls-0.7
Providence-1.6
Wolfsburg+16.1
+0.9
Innsbruck-2.1
Happy Adventure-8.2
-0.9
Amsterdam-2.9
Manchester-0.2
Etobicoke-0.4
Niagara Falls 51.7 Moscow 38.8
8:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Moscow-0.4
Karlstad+0.2
Niagara Falls+14.8
+0.8
Providence-2.7
-0.2
Wolfsburg-2.1
Innsbruck-3.8
Happy Adventure-1.2
Amsterdam-4.1
Manchester-0.5
Etobicoke-0.4
Hidden Valley 46.4 Manchester 48.9
8:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hidden Valley-0.1
-0.6
Niagara Falls-0.2
Innsbruck-0.2
Amsterdam-0.2
Manchester+0.8
+0.3
Etobicoke-0.2
Quebec 59.5 Karlstad 57.9
8:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Karlstad-0.5
Quebec+0.6
Week of 2/18
Amsterdam 39.5 Providence 47.9
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hidden Valley+0.1
Providence+31.9
+1.2
Innsbruck-0.2
Happy Adventure-0.3
Amsterdam-31.4
-1.2
Innsbruck 41.5 Hidden Valley 40.3
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hidden Valley-0.4
-0.7
Niagara Falls-3.7
Providence-5.3
Wolfsburg-3.7
Innsbruck+20.8
+1.0
Happy Adventure-2.4
Amsterdam-5.3
Manchester 40.8 Happy Adventure 39.8
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hidden ValleyIn
Niagara Falls+2.6
+0.2
Providence+4.6
Wolfsburg+2.6
+0.2
Innsbruck+5.5
Happy Adventure-20.4
-1.0
Amsterdam+4.6
Manchester+0.3
Etobicoke-0.2
Wolfsburg 35.9 Niagara Falls 58.6
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Niagara Falls+14.1
+1.2
Providence+0.3
Wolfsburg-15.2
-1.2
Innsbruck+0.3
Amsterdam+0.4
Moscow 46.8 Quebec 32.9
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Moscow+0.6
Quebec-0.6
Karlstad 57.3 Etobicoke 57.3
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Karlstad+0.1
Week of 2/25
Happy Adventure vs InnsbruckIf winner is:HomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Providence86.465.189.3
6.87.16.8
Wolfsburg70.854.876.3
7.47.57.4
Innsbruck17.9InIn
9.17.06.1
Happy AdventureIn73.98.1
6.58.09.3
Amsterdam*24.96.226.3
9.49.89.4
Quebec vs WolfsburgHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Karlstad2.32.11.7
Quebec2.12.63.0
Providence92.981.681.6
6.56.97.0
Wolfsburg43.999.5In
8.77.56.1
Innsbruck66.554.554.6
7.47.67.9
Happy Adventure58.851.550.9
7.77.88.2
Amsterdam37.912.912.9
9.29.69.6
Hidden Valley vs AmsterdamHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hidden Valley4.24.55.7
Niagara Falls5.45.14.9
Providence95.195.178.5
Wolfsburg83.683.561.4
7.37.37.5
Innsbruck64.364.456.0
7.57.57.7
Happy Adventure57.057.052.3
7.87.88.1
AmsterdamOutOut51.7
10.310.08.4
Providence vs KarlstadHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Karlstad2.52.01.5
Quebec2.32.42.8
ProvidenceIn99.873.3
5.47.58.1
Wolfsburg71.371.474.6
7.77.37.1
Innsbruck58.158.162.7
7.97.57.4
Happy Adventure53.153.356.5
8.27.77.7
Amsterdam17.517.533.0
9.59.59.3
Niagara Falls vs ManchesterHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hidden Valley5.15.04.6
Niagara Falls4.34.56.1
Etobicoke vs MoscowHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Moscow1.91.31.0
Karlstad1.81.92.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you WillC for adding this league.