Chelsea Piers D7 Playoff Chances 2016Spring

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Snowmen	6	1	3	0		-	0	7	99.9	%	+0.8	72	21	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		1.4	+0.36	1	.820	Snowmen
Hegemony	6	1	3	0		-	0	5	99.7		+2.4	20	49	23	5	2	1	0	0	0	0		2.2	+0.60	8	.865	Hegemony
RedHawks	4	2	2	0		-	0	5	95.5		+19.4	7	22	36	18	8	5	3	1	0	0	0	3.3	+1.68	5	.760	RedHawks
Hitmen	4	1	2	1		-	0	0	69.8		-26.5	0	2	14	17	17	19	12	11	6	1	0	5.5	-2.43	3	.632	Hitmen
Saints	3	2	1	0		-	1	6	67.1		+42.7	1	3	11	19	22	12	12	11	4	3	2	5.6	+2.41	6	.643	Saints
Wizards	2	2	1	1		-	0	-1	59.1		+36.4	0	2	5	18	18	16	13	9	9	6	3	6.2	+2.16	6	.527	Wizards

Thundercats	2	1	1	2		-	0	-3	41.6		-33.5	0	1	3	11	12	14	15	12	13	11	8	7.1	-2.04	9	.420	Thundercats
Blizzard	2		1	3		-	0	-8	25.4		-20.6	0	0	1	5	8	12	12	15	19	16	13	8.1	-1.27	2	.340	Blizzard
Tsunami	1	2	0	1		-	1	-2	19.9		+0.1	0	0	1	4	7	8	13	17	11	19	20	8.4	+0.08	4	.410	Tsunami
Badgers	2	1	1	2		-	0	-1	13.0		+0.1			0	0	3	10	11	12	26	21	16	8.8	+0.02	11	.390	Badgers
Sled Dogs	1	1	0	2		-	1	-8	8.9		-21.4	0	0	0	2	3	4	8	11	11	23	37	9.4	-1.58	10	.320	Sled Dogs

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 4/23
Saints 8 Hitmen 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Snowmen			+0.1
Hegemony	-0.3		+0.2
RedHawks	-2.3
Hitmen	-7.9		-1.1
Saints	+23.4		+1.5
Wizards	-2.5		-0.2
Thundercats	-1.5
Blizzard	-2.9		-0.1
Tsunami	-1.9		-0.2
Badgers	-2.9		-0.2
Sled Dogs	-1.2		-0.1

Thundercats 2 Wizards 5
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hegemony			+0.1
RedHawks	-0.1
Hitmen	+0.3		+0.1
Saints	+0.1		-0.0
Wizards	+17.3		+1.1
Thundercats	-18.9		-1.2
Blizzard	+0.3
Tsunami	+0.8
Badgers	+0.1		-0.1
Sled Dogs	*+0.1		-0.0

Sled Dogs 4 RedHawks 7
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
RedHawks	+9.9		+0.6
Hitmen	+0.2
Saints	-0.3
Wizards	+0.2		+0.0
Thundercats	+0.1		-0.0
Blizzard	+0.5
Tsunami	-0.1
Badgers	+0.1		+0.0
Sled Dogs	-10.7		-0.6

Blizzard 2 Hegemony 4
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Snowmen			-0.0
Hegemony	+1.7		+0.3
RedHawks	+1.1		+0.0
Hitmen	+0.3		-0.0
Saints	+0.6		+0.0
Wizards	+0.6		+0.0
Thundercats	+0.5
Blizzard	-7.5		-0.4
Tsunami	+1.0		+0.0
Badgers	+0.8
Sled Dogs	+0.8		+0.0

Snowmen 4 Tsunami 3 (ot)
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Snowmen	+0.6		+0.2
Hegemony	-0.2		-0.1
RedHawks	-0.5
Hitmen			-0.0
Saints	-0.8		-0.1
Wizards	-0.3		-0.1
Thundercats	-0.2
Blizzard	-0.1		-0.0
Tsunami	+2.8		+0.3
Badgers	-0.5		-0.0
Sled Dogs	-0.6		-0.1

Week of 4/30
Blizzard vs WizardsIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
RedHawks	96.2*95.494.495.2		3.23.33.43.4
Hitmen	70.465.167.370.0		5.55.75.65.5
Saints	67.565.566.167.2		5.65.75.75.6
Wizards	27.947.269.373.1		7.96.85.65.5
Thundercats	41.542.541.041.6		7.17.27.27.1
Blizzard	54.046.022.411.4		6.56.88.18.8
Tsunami	19.418.319.620.3		8.48.58.48.3
Badgers	14.512.211.812.5		8.78.98.88.8
Sled Dogs	*8.98.28.69.0		9.49.59.49.3

Tsunami vs BadgersHomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
RedHawks	95.795.694.895.3
Hitmen	67.167.272.272.7		5.65.75.55.5
Saints	67.466.566.267.0		5.65.75.75.6
Wizards	59.759.655.458.9		6.26.26.46.2
Thundercats	43.042.938.440.2		7.17.27.37.1
Blizzard	24.724.525.126.3		8.18.28.18.0
Tsunami	33.233.613.74.7		7.37.48.99.5
Badgers	0.01.626.627.1		9.89.07.87.7
Sled Dogs	9.78.78.08.2		9.39.59.59.4

Thundercats vs Sled DogsHomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
RedHawks	95.295.0*95.596.0
Hitmen	68.267.770.072.5		5.65.65.65.4
Saints	65.965.566.969.4		5.75.75.75.5
Wizards	58.958.357.359.8		6.26.36.36.2
Thundercats	54.753.733.820.3		6.36.47.58.5
Blizzard	25.124.525.225.9		8.08.18.28.2
Tsunami	18.718.420.422.1		8.48.58.48.3
Badgers	11.812.113.615.0		8.78.88.98.8
Sled Dogs	2.05.117.619.2		10.19.78.48.2

Saints vs SnowmenHomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Snowmen	99.7*99.9100.0100.0		1.91.41.21.2
Hegemony			2.12.32.42.3
RedHawks	94.494.495.295.9		3.43.53.43.3
Hitmen	67.167.169.271.0		5.75.75.65.5
Saints	90.890.771.056.4		4.34.45.46.2
Wizards	54.554.558.661.2		6.46.46.26.1
Thundercats	36.936.842.843.5		7.37.37.17.1
Blizzard	21.621.624.627.1		8.28.28.18.0
Tsunami	18.018.019.220.9		8.58.58.48.3
Badgers	9.39.311.314.9		8.98.98.88.7
Sled Dogs	8.08.08.59.4		9.49.49.49.3

Hegemony vs RedHawksHomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hegemony	100.0100.099.999.1		1.81.92.63.2
RedHawks	93.197.799.399.4		3.93.42.62.2
Hitmen	70.069.569.469.5		5.55.65.65.6
Saints	67.567.066.566.6		5.65.65.75.6
Wizards	59.658.558.358.5		6.26.36.36.2
Thundercats	42.041.040.941.0		7.17.27.27.2
Tsunami	20.219.819.619.6
Badgers	13.512.312.212.4
Sled Dogs	9.0*8.98.78.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jonathan Palmer for adding this league.