How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 4/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division III100.0*Average seed
New Zealand 4 DPR Korea 7 -12.8
-12.8
+12.7
-1.0
Mexico 10 Bulgaria 1 -3.1
-3.1
-2.1
-0.1
Australia 11 Israel 3 -0.9
-0.9
-2.8
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday, 4/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division III100.0*Average seed
DPR Korea vs AustraliaNo+0.1+0.1NoNoNo
No+0.1+0.1NoNoNo
-0.3-0.3-0.4-0.3-0.4+0.4
+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0
Mexico vs IsraelNoNoNoNoNo+0.0
NoNoNoNoNo+0.0
-7.0+2.8+2.8+4.7+4.7+6.3
+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1
Bulgaria vs New ZealandNoNoNoNoNo+0.0
NoNoNoNoNo+0.0
+20.7-6.0-5.9NoNoNo
-0.8-0.2-0.2+0.4+0.4+0.8

What If

Chances based on how well the New Zealand finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePromoted toChance will finish season at seedRelegated to
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleDivision IIA123456Division IIICount
92-00-00.0%0.0%02167120No4,598,308
81-10-0NoNo346484No832,765
71-00-1NoNo176420No833,601
0-20-0NoNo166420No37,765
61-01-0NoNo4435210.8%9,180,803
0-10-1NoNo66529No75,533
50-11-0NoNo15731211.5833,446
0-00-2NoNo4752121.138,102
40-01-1NoNo1722727.3832,174
30-02-0NoNo217978.94,596,247
Total:0.0%0.0%051826331818.4%21,858,744
Points
Chance Will Win Championship