New Zealand Title Chances 2016
Lost to DPR Korea 4-7, title odds down 11.2 to 0.0002%
3 points 1-0 2-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 4/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted to Division IIA | 100.0* | Relegated to Division III | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New Zealand 4 DPR Korea 7 | -11.0 | -11.0 | +5.4 | -1.0 | ||||
| Mexico 10 Bulgaria 1 | -0.9 | -0.9 | -0.5 | -0.1 | ||||
| Australia 11 Israel 3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | +0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||||||
| Thursday, 4/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted to Division IIA | 100.0* | Relegated to Division III | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DPR Korea vs Australia | No+0.0+0.0*No*NoNo | No+0.0+0.0*No*NoNo | -0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||||
| Mexico vs Israel | No*No*No*No*No+0.0 | No*No*No*No*No+0.0 | -0.5+2.3+2.3+2.9+2.8+2.8 | +0.1-0.4-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.5 | ||||
| Bulgaria vs New Zealand | No*No*No*No*No*+0.0 | No*No*No*No*No*+0.0 | +56.0-6.8-6.8NoNoNo | -1.4-0.6-0.6-0.3-0.3+0.3 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the New Zealand finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Promoted to | Chance will finish season at seed | Relegated to | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | wins title | Division IIA | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Division III | Count | ||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 3 | 76 | 21 | 0 | No | 5,721,295 | |||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | No | No | 0 | 60 | 39 | 1 | No | 1,031,959 | ||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | No | No | 41 | 55 | 4 | No | 3,908,281 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | No | No | 41 | 55 | 4 | No | 46,632 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | No | No | 13 | 70 | 18 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 42,986,881 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | No | No | 12 | 73 | 15 | No | 354,070 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | No | No | 29 | 71 | 0 | 0.1 | 3,905,233 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | No | No | 7 | 91 | 2 | 2.0 | 62,256 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | No | No | 1 | 93 | 6 | 5.7 | 1,355,807 | |||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | No | No | 20 | 80 | 79.6 | 7,490,214 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 18 | 52 | 20 | 9 | 9.0 | % | 66,862,628 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:08 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
