How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 4/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division III100.0*Average seed
Mexico 10 Bulgaria 1 +11.9
+11.9
No
+0.8
Australia 11 Israel 3 -6.3
-6.3
-0.0
New Zealand 4 DPR Korea 7 +0.5
+0.5
-1.7
+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday, 4/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division III100.0*Average seed
Mexico vs Israel+13.1+9.4+9.5-10.1-10.2-13.1
+13.1+9.4+9.5-10.1-10.2-13.1
+0.5+0.3+0.3-0.3-0.3-0.5
DPR Korea vs Australia+12.1+10.4+10.4-9.3-9.3-12.2
+12.1+10.4+10.4-9.3-9.3-12.2
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1
Bulgaria vs New Zealand+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Mexico finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePromoted toChance will finish season at seedRelegated to
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleDivision IIA123456Division IIICount
132-00-075.1%75.1%7525No4,596,987
121-10-071.271.27129No835,421
111-00-116.416.416777No834,350
0-20-028.928.92971No37,834
101-01-012.412.4127315No9,178,382
0-10-112.512.5127512No75,812
90-11-00.10.103159100No832,691
0-00-2NoNo6832No37,836
80-01-1NoNo0424810No834,609
70-02-0NoNo345214No4,594,822
Total:24.5%24.5%244218133No21,858,744
Points
Chance Will Win Championship