How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 4/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division III100.0*Average seed
Australia 11 Israel 3 -3.7
-3.7
-0.0
Mexico 10 Bulgaria 1 +3.1
+3.1
No
+0.3
New Zealand 4 DPR Korea 7 +0.4
+0.4
-0.4
+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday, 4/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division III100.0*Average seed
DPR Korea vs Australia+41.9+34.6+34.5-8.5-8.6-12.8
+41.9+34.6+34.5-8.5-8.6-12.8
+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.1
Mexico vs Israel+2.2-1.0-1.0-16.7-16.7-18.3
+2.2-1.0-1.0-16.7-16.7-18.3
+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.5-0.5-0.7

What If

Chances based on how well the Mexico finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePromoted toChance will finish season at seedRelegated to
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleDivision IIA123456Division IIICount
132-00-032.8%32.8%3367No34,600,188
121-10-030.130.13070No6,280,587
111-00-11.71.728811No1,804,912
0-20-05.05.0595No285,249
101-01-00.50.517822No19,881,122
0-10-10.50.508317No163,366
90-11-00.00.0079030No1,807,707
0-00-2NoNo7228No13,788
80-01-1NoNo027676No307,179
70-02-0NoNo22718No1,718,530
Total:20.0%20.0%20681020No66,862,628
Points
Chance Will Win Championship