Israel Title Chances 2016
Lost to Australia 3-11, title odds down 9.4 to 0.00009%
3 points 1-0 2-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 4/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted to Division IIA | 100.0* | Relegated to Division III | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Australia 11 Israel 3 | -9.4 | -9.4 | +2.1 | -0.4 | ||||
| New Zealand 4 DPR Korea 7 | +1.2 | +1.2 | +0.8 | |||||
| Mexico 10 Bulgaria 1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.5 | -0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||||||
| Thursday, 4/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted to Division IIA | 100.0* | Relegated to Division III | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DPR Korea vs Australia | No+0.0+0.0*No*NoNo | No+0.0+0.0*No*NoNo | -0.3-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.1 | |||||
| Mexico vs Israel | No*No*No*No*No+0.0 | No*No*No*No*No+0.0 | +3.9-17.8-17.8-20.0-20.0-20.2 | -0.2+0.6+0.6+0.9+0.9+1.4 | ||||
| Bulgaria vs New Zealand | +0.8+3.4+3.4+1.5+1.5-0.3 | +0.5+0.4+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.1 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Israel finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Promoted to | Chance will finish season at seed | Relegated to | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | wins title | Division IIA | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Division III | Count | ||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 26 | 68 | 6 | 0 | No | 3,908,604 | |||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | No | No | 1 | 76 | 21 | 2 | No | 704,265 | ||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | No | No | 45 | 48 | 8 | No | 3,526,028 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | No | No | 44 | 48 | 8 | No | 31,936 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | No | No | 15 | 27 | 58 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 38,775,741 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | No | No | 11 | 31 | 57 | No | 319,651 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | No | No | 13 | 87 | 0 | 0.1 | 3,525,664 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | No | No | 1 | 97 | 2 | 1.7 | 111,223 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | No | No | 93 | 7 | 7.5 | 2,447,261 | ||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 13,512,255 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | 42 | 21 | 20.5 | % | 66,862,628 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:08 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
