DPR Korea Title Chances 2016
Beat New Zealand 7-4, title odds up 0.1 to 7%
6 points 2-0 1-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 4/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted to Division IIA | 100.0* | Relegated to Division III | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New Zealand 4 DPR Korea 7 | +7.6 | +7.6 | -2.6 | +0.9 | ||||
| Australia 11 Israel 3 | +0.3 | +0.3 | +0.0 | |||||
| Mexico 10 Bulgaria 1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -1.6 | -0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||||||
| Thursday, 4/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted to Division IIA | 100.0* | Relegated to Division III | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DPR Korea vs Australia | +25.2-1.3-1.3-6.4-6.3No | +25.2-1.3-1.3-6.4-6.3No | +0.9+0.5+0.5+0.4+0.4-0.3 | |||||
| Mexico vs Israel | -0.0-0.0*-0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.2 | -0.0-0.0*-0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.2 | +0.0+0.2+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.2 | |||||
| Bulgaria vs New Zealand | +0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the DPR Korea finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Promoted to | Chance will finish season at seed | Relegated to | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | wins title | Division IIA | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Division III | Count | ||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 4,189,244 | |||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 59.7 | % | 59.7 | % | 60 | 40 | No | 756,198 | ||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 69 | 29 | No | 2,056,877 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 25 | 73 | No | 34,341 | ||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | No | No | 11 | 86 | 2 | No | 22,664,296 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 91 | 2 | 0 | No | 186,430 | ||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | No | No | 1 | 88 | 11 | 0 | No | 2,057,093 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | No | No | 85 | 14 | 1 | No | 241,856 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | No | No | 79 | 20 | 1 | No | 5,326,194 | |||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | No | No | 35 | 39 | 26 | No | 29,350,099 | |||||||||
| Total: | 7.0 | % | 7.0 | % | 7 | 7 | 55 | 20 | 12 | No | 66,862,628 | |||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:08 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
