How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 4/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division III100.0*Average seed
Australia 11 Israel 3 +21.1
+21.1
No
+0.8
Mexico 10 Bulgaria 1 -4.8
-4.8
-1.6
-0.1
New Zealand 4 DPR Korea 7 -0.4
-0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday, 4/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division III100.0*Average seed
DPR Korea vs Australia-38.4-12.1-12.1+28.8+28.8+36.9
-38.4-12.1-12.1+28.8+28.8+36.9
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.6+0.6+0.7
Mexico vs Israel-12.8-8.7-8.7+10.7+10.8+12.7
-12.8-8.7-8.7+10.7+10.8+12.7
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.1
Bulgaria vs New Zealand+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Australia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePromoted toChance will finish season at seedRelegated to
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleDivision IIA123456Division IIICount
13-14YesYes100No5,429,550*
121-00-179.0%79.0%7921No833,176
0-20-079.279.27921No37,746
111-01-050.150.150500No9,180,182
0-10-151.751.75248No75,782
100-11-040.340.340582No832,935
0-00-223.123.123752No38,035
90-01-10.40.40365680No833,188
80-02-0NoNo745435No4,598,150
Total:50.8%50.8%51271291No21,858,744

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship