"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 3/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division IIB Qualification100.0*Average seed
New Zealand 1 Australia 12 No
No
+13.7
-0.4
Mexico 6 Turkey 1 -1.9
Saturday, 3/5100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division IIB Qualification100.0*Average seed
Turkey 4 New Zealand 7 No
+0.6
Iceland 2 Mexico 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday, 3/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division IIB Qualification100.0*Average seed
New Zealand vs Mexico+0.6-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the New Zealand finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePromoted toChance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleDivision IIA123456Relegated to Division IIB QualificationCount
61-00-0NoNo100No25,640,743
3-5NoNo100No33,523,605*
Total:NoNo4357No59,164,348

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship