"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 3/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division IIB Qualification100.0*Average seed
Spain 3 Iceland 2 -26.8
-26.8
-0.7
New Zealand 1 Australia 12 -4.2
-4.2
No
-0.1
Mexico 6 Turkey 1 -1.1
-1.1
No
-0.1
Saturday, 3/5100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division IIB Qualification100.0*Average seed
Spain 4 Australia 1 No
No
+0.0
Iceland 2 Mexico 0 +7.3
+7.3
+0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday, 3/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division IIB Qualification100.0*Average seed
Iceland vs Australia+0.4+0.4+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Iceland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePromoted toChance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleDivision IIA123456Relegated to Division IIB QualificationCount
10-12NoNo100No33,517,615*
90-01-0NoNo100No25,646,733
Total:NoNo5743No59,164,348

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship