How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0 -13.5
-4.4
+0.2
-0.8
Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0 +1.0
+0.5
+0.2
-0.1
Confiança 1 ABC 1 +1.0
+0.1
+0.1
River-PI 0 ASA 0 +0.9
+0.2
Botafogo-PB 2 Remo 0 -0.4
-0.2
Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MT+11.3-5.5-10.1
+2.7-1.6-2.2
-0.4-0.1+0.6
+0.8-0.3-0.9
Remo vs Confiança-2.1+1.3+2.5
-0.4+0.3+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
ASA vs América-RN-1.5+1.4+0.8
-0.5+0.3+0.4
+0.0+0.1-0.1
River-PI vs Botafogo-PB+1.2+0.4-0.7
+0.8+0.4-0.5
+0.2-0.0-0.1
ABC vs Fortaleza-1.1+0.7+0.4
*+0.0+0.5-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Portuguesa vs Juventude+0.3-0.0-0.1
Mogi Mirim vs Macaé-0.1-0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Salgueiro finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSérieChance will finish regular season at seedSérie
TPW-L-EplayoffsB12345678910DCount
315-0-0In92.2%464680No70,882
294-0-199.6%51.094239900No271,655
284-1-094.620.72194529500No364,965
273-0-281.75.90632441710No421,067
263-1-147.40.601103741111No1,121,895
253-2-019.60.00218463140No736,983
2-0-318.20.00217463240No323,569
242-1-24.60.00043250130No1,279,093
232-2-10.5No0012503430No1,670,487
1-0-40.2No008484030No122,630
222-3-00.0No0332501410No718,650
1-1-30.0No023254120No642,789
211-2-2OutNo0145230300.0%1,246,957
0-0-5OutNo012572930No18,487
201-3-1OutNo0332481610.01,064,221
0-1-4OutNo0334481510.0120,100
191-4-0OutNo011453940.2340,582
0-2-3OutNo013473540.2308,087
180-3-2OutNo022754161.9393,213
170-4-1OutNo0751428.8247,853
160-5-0OutNo0267424.263,195
Total:15.9%2.7%125915232314720.4%11,547,360
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/13100.0*Lottery seed
América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0 +1.5
Confiança 1 ABC 1 -0.1
Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3 +0.1
River-PI 0 ASA 0 -0.1
Macaé 2 Guarani 4 -0.0
Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Lottery seed
Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MT-1.5+0.6+1.5
ASA vs América-RN+0.0-0.1+0.1
Remo vs Confiança+0.1-0.1-0.0
ABC vs Fortaleza+0.1-0.0-0.0
Mogi Mirim vs Macaé+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-E1234567891011121314151617181920
315-0-004612346200
294-0-1914173254000
284-1-02019342111841000
273-0-2006032341684100
263-1-10101013771918710
253-2-0020183173122610
2-0-30201711230281010
242-1-2000404203827600
232-2-100006254223200
1-0-40000319453030
222-3-000019354112100
1-1-3000734461210
211-2-20011546317100
0-0-500125031610
201-3-1003264323500
0-1-402274422500
191-4-000733401630
0-2-30934381630
180-3-201133634142
170-4-10219393290
160-5-0052645240
Total:010204181481216181274200