River-PI Playoff Chances 2016 50/50Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 0.9% 11 points 2-6-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Série B | 100.0* | Série D | 100.0* | Average seed | River-PI 0 ASA 0 | -1.1 | | -0.1 | | +3.0 | | -0.2 | | Confiança 1 ABC 1 | +0.2 | | | | -0.3 | | +0.0 | | Botafogo-PB 2 Remo 0 | -0.1 | | | | | | | | Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0 | +0.1 | | | | +3.4 | | -0.1 | | América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0 | | | | | +1.2 | | -0.1 | | Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 | | | | | -2.6 | | | | Macaé 2 Guarani 4 | | | | | -2.0 | | | | Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3 | | | | | -1.5 | | | | | If winner is:HomeEmpateAway | Week of 8/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Série B | 100.0* | Série D | 100.0* | Average seed | River-PI vs Botafogo-PB | +1.4-0.7-0.9 | | +0.1-0.0No | | -16.2+3.2+13.7 | | +0.6-0.2-0.4 | | Remo vs Confiança | -0.2*+0.0+0.2 | | | | -2.2-0.3+2.4 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | ABC vs Fortaleza | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | | | ASA vs América-RN | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | | | -0.3*-0.0+0.3 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MT | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | | | -1.3-0.1+1.4 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Portuguesa vs Juventude | | | | | +4.4-0.6-3.9 | | | | Mogi Mirim vs Macaé | | | | | -3.9-0.6+4.4 | | | | Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SP | | | | | +1.2-0.5-0.8 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the River-PI finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Série | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Série | | TP | W | - | L | - | E | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | D | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 26 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 79.9 | % | 5.2 | % | 0 | 5 | 30 | 45 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | | | No | 24,336 | | 24 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 14.2 | | 0.0 | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 8 | 0 | | | No | 90,399 | | 23 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1.6 | | No | | | 0 | 2 | 18 | 45 | 30 | 6 | 0 | | No | 119,022 | | 22 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 45 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 138,835 | | 21 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | 0 | 8 | 35 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 0.0 | | 365,009 | | 20 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 47 | 34 | 5 | 0.3 | | 238,810 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 7 | 0.5 | | 105,642 | | 19 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 28 | 50 | 20 | 3.1 | | 417,378 | | 18 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 48 | 39 | 11.5 | | 547,854 | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 48 | 39 | 11.6 | | 40,748 | | 17 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 34 | 63 | 27.0 | | 238,280 | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 3 | 31 | 66 | 30.1 | | 212,326 | | 16 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 1 | 16 | 84 | 52.3 | | 416,777 | | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 1 | 19 | 81 | 50.3 | | 6,181 | | 15 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 74.1 | | 364,832 | | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 75.1 | | 40,444 | | 14 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 87.5 | | 119,943 | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 89.9 | | 106,393 | | 11 | -13 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 98.0 | | 255,911 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.9 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 48 | 30.8 | % | 3,849,120 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 8/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | River-PI 0 ASA 0 | +0.4 | | Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0 | +0.1 | | Macaé 2 Guarani 4 | -0.1 | | Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 | -0.1 | | América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0 | +0.1 | | Confiança 1 ABC 1 | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeEmpateAway | Week of 8/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | River-PI vs Botafogo-PB | -1.0+0.3+0.8 | | Portuguesa vs Juventude | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | Mogi Mirim vs Macaé | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | Remo vs Confiança | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MT | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | ASA vs América-RN | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SP | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | - | L | - | E | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 26 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | | 0 | | 5 | 0 | 30 | 4 | 41 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 24 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 23 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | 22 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 39 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 21 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 39 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | 20 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 1 | | 19 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 18 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 34 | 12 | 0 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 34 | 12 | 0 | 17 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 43 | 26 | 0 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 22 | 43 | 30 | 1 | 16 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 50 | 2 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 48 | 2 | 15 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 68 | 6 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 69 | 6 | 14 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 73 | 15 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 74 | 15 | 13 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 71 | 26 | 12 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 61 | 39 | 11 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 46 | 54 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 20 | 27 | 4 |
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