How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
River-PI 0 ASA 0 -1.1
-0.1
+3.0
-0.2
Confiança 1 ABC 1 +0.2
-0.3
+0.0
Botafogo-PB 2 Remo 0 -0.1
Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0 +0.1
+3.4
-0.1
América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0 +1.2
-0.1
Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 -2.6
Macaé 2 Guarani 4 -2.0
Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3 -1.5
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
River-PI vs Botafogo-PB+1.4-0.7-0.9
+0.1-0.0No
-16.2+3.2+13.7
+0.6-0.2-0.4
Remo vs Confiança-0.2*+0.0+0.2
-2.2-0.3+2.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
ABC vs Fortaleza-0.2+0.1+0.1
ASA vs América-RN-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.3*-0.0+0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MT-0.1+0.1+0.0
-1.3-0.1+1.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Portuguesa vs Juventude+4.4-0.6-3.9
Mogi Mirim vs Macaé-3.9-0.6+4.4
Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SP+1.2-0.5-0.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the River-PI finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSérieChance will finish regular season at seedSérie
TPW-L-EplayoffsB12345678910DCount
265-0-079.9%5.2%0530451920No24,336
244-0-114.20.00113423580No90,399
234-1-01.6No0218453060No119,022
223-0-20.0No03224527300.0%138,835
213-1-1OutNo0835451210.0365,009
203-2-0OutNo0113473450.3238,810
2-0-3OutNo09473770.5105,642
192-1-2OutNo022850203.1417,378
182-2-1OutNo0012483911.5547,854
1-0-4OutNo012483911.640,748
172-3-0OutNo03346327.0238,280
1-1-3OutNo3316630.1212,326
161-2-2OutNo1168452.3416,777
0-0-5OutNo1198150.36,181
151-3-1OutNo079374.1364,832
0-1-4OutNo079375.140,444
141-4-0OutNo29887.5119,943
0-2-3OutNo19989.9106,393
11-13OutNo10098.0255,911*
Total:0.9%0.0%000124715234830.8%3,849,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/13100.0*Lottery seed
River-PI 0 ASA 0 +0.4
Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0 +0.1
Macaé 2 Guarani 4 -0.1
Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 -0.1
América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0 +0.1
Confiança 1 ABC 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Lottery seed
River-PI vs Botafogo-PB-1.0+0.3+0.8
Portuguesa vs Juventude+0.1-0.0-0.1
Mogi Mirim vs Macaé-0.1-0.0+0.1
Remo vs Confiança-0.1-0.0+0.1
Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MT-0.0-0.0+0.1
ASA vs América-RN-0.0-0.0+0.1
Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SP+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-E1234567891011121314151617181920
265-0-00503044178410
244-0-101013110283014300
234-1-0020110283519400
223-0-200162439256100
213-1-10017283920500
203-2-001831371940
2-0-300528392251
192-1-2011132361730
182-2-1003163634120
1-0-403163634120
172-3-00062443260
1-1-3052243301
161-2-201937502
0-0-5011038482
151-3-100323686
0-1-40223696
141-4-001127315
0-2-300107415
130-3-2037126
120-4-1016139
110-5-04654
Total:0000010012359121620274