How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 -1.4
-0.1
+9.2
-0.3
Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3 -0.3
-1.4
Juventude 1 Boa 1 +0.1
Macaé 2 Guarani 4 -1.2
+0.1
Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0 +2.5
América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0 +0.6
River-PI 0 ASA 0 -0.6
Confiança 1 ABC 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Portuguesa vs Juventude+0.3-0.2-0.2
+0.0*NoNo
-14.8+2.6+12.8
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Boa vs Guarani-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Mogi Mirim vs Macaé-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-3.0-0.7+3.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SP+0.0*-0.0No
+1.6-0.6-1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
River-PI vs Botafogo-PB+4.7-0.8-4.1
Remo vs Confiança-2.0*-0.1+2.1
Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MT-1.6*-0.1+1.6
ASA vs América-RN-0.2*+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Portuguesa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSérieChance will finish regular season at seedSérie
TPW-L-EplayoffsB12345678910DCount
265-0-023.4%0.1%0321432850No24,011
244-0-10.4No0093643120No91,209
234-1-00.0No011347391No119,003
223-0-2OutNo0331624No139,607
213-1-1OutNo01475100.0%365,824
203-2-0OutNo0476200.1239,289
2-0-3OutNo0373250.1105,954
192-1-2OutNo0673301.2417,116
182-2-1OutNo544604.8547,526
1-0-4OutNo46546.940,391
172-3-0OutNo4158115.9238,481
1-1-3OutNo3663118.9212,564
161-2-2OutNo2670437.0417,363
0-0-5OutNo2277140.76,193
151-3-1OutNo1576958.9363,913
0-1-4OutNo1181864.140,476
141-4-0OutNo7702380.3119,380
0-2-3OutNo5752082.1106,414
130-3-2OutNo2633492.8138,977
120-4-1OutNo1475298.090,997
110-5-0OutNo0277399.824,432
Total:0.2%0.0%0000254244624.3%3,849,120
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/13100.0*Lottery seed
Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 +1.0
Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0 +0.1
Macaé 2 Guarani 4 -0.1
América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0 +0.1
River-PI 0 ASA 0 -0.0
Confiança 1 ABC 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Lottery seed
Portuguesa vs Juventude-1.1+0.3+0.8
River-PI vs Botafogo-PB+0.2-0.0-0.1
Remo vs Confiança-0.1-0.0+0.1
Mogi Mirim vs Macaé-0.1-0.0+0.1
ASA vs América-RN-0.1-0.0+0.1
Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MT-0.0-0.0+0.1
Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SP+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-E1234567891011121314151617181920
265-0-00121384029710
244-0-1000317332913300
234-1-000211283420500
223-0-20017243725500
213-1-10018284020400
203-2-001935381520
2-0-3001831391830
192-1-20011337351210
182-2-100423412650
1-0-4031940317
172-3-00193341160
1-1-30073043190
161-2-2021744352
0-0-5011345401
151-3-100634536
0-1-40431595
141-4-001186219
0-2-3001176617
130-3-2076132
120-4-1024850
110-5-002872
Total:0000001123610141820205