Mogi Mirim Playoff Chances 2016Did not play, playoff odds down 2.2 to 19.4% 19 points 5-4-4 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Série B | 100.0* | Série D | 100.0* | Average seed | Tombense-MG 4 Mogi Mirim 0 | -17.7 | | -7.2 | | | | -0.7 | | Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 | -1.9 | | -0.9 | | | | -0.1 | | Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3 | -1.3 | | -0.1 | | | | -0.1 | | Juventude 1 Boa 1 | +1.2 | | +0.6 | | | | +0.0 | | Macaé 2 Guarani 4 | -0.2 | | -0.8 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeEmpateAway | Week of 8/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Série B | 100.0* | Série D | 100.0* | Average seed | Mogi Mirim vs Macaé | +10.0-7.6-11.5 | | +2.2-1.8-2.4 | | No-0.0+0.0 | | +0.5-0.3-0.6 | | Portuguesa vs Juventude | +2.6+1.7-2.2 | | +0.3+0.2-0.2 | | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | Boa vs Guarani | -2.7*+0.0+1.6 | | -0.6+0.2+0.2 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Ypiranga-RS vs Tombense-MG | -0.3+2.4-1.5 | | +0.1+0.4-0.4 | | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SP | +2.7+1.4-1.1 | | +1.5+0.9-0.7 | | | | +0.1+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Mogi Mirim finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Série | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Série | | TP | W | - | L | - | E | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | D | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 34 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 92.4 | % | 31 | 61 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 51,035 | | 32 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.8 | % | 55.0 | | 5 | 50 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 209,486 | | 31 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 98.6 | | 33.4 | | 1 | 33 | 48 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 301,570 | | 30 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 90.8 | | 11.6 | | 0 | 12 | 43 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 349,917 | | 29 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 69.4 | | 3.1 | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 44 | 26 | 4 | 0 | | | | No | 991,882 | | 28 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 45.9 | | 0.5 | | | 1 | 9 | 36 | 41 | 13 | 1 | | | | No | 696,454 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 40.8 | | 0.4 | | | 0 | 7 | 33 | 43 | 15 | 1 | | | | No | 287,287 | | 27 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 14.1 | | 0.0 | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 41 | 37 | 8 | | | | No | 1,205,593 | | 26 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 3.7 | | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 48 | 23 | 0 | | | No | 1,675,567 | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 3.0 | | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 49 | 23 | 0 | | | No | 116,586 | | 25 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.6 | | No | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 41 | 0 | | | No | 768,531 | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.3 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 43 | 48 | 0 | | | No | 646,114 | | 24 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | 0 | 2 | 26 | 72 | 1 | 0 | | No | 1,325,611 | | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | No | | | | 0 | 1 | 24 | 74 | 1 | | | No | 18,621 | | 23 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 84 | 3 | 0 | | No | 1,194,018 | | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | 0 | 11 | 87 | 2 | 0 | | No | 126,714 | | 22 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | 0 | 5 | 88 | 7 | 0 | | No | 399,815 | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | 0 | 3 | 90 | 7 | 0 | | No | 343,624 | | 21 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 80 | 19 | 1 | | No | 458,237 | | 20 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 65 | 32 | 3 | | 0.0 | % | 301,271 | | 19 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | 45 | 47 | 8 | | 0.1 | | 79,427 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 19.4 | % | 2.9 | % | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 39 | 3 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 11,547,360 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 8/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Tombense-MG 4 Mogi Mirim 0 | +1.4 | | Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3 | +0.1 | | Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 | +0.1 | | Juventude 1 Boa 1 | -0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeEmpateAway | Week of 8/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Mogi Mirim vs Macaé | -1.1+0.7+1.4 | | Portuguesa vs Juventude | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SP | -0.2-0.1+0.1 | | Boa vs Guarani | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | Ypiranga-RS vs Tombense-MG | +0.0-0.1+0.1 | | Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MT | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | ASA vs América-RN | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | ABC vs Fortaleza | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | - | L | - | E | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 34 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 26 | 6 | 61 | 0 | 8 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 32 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 6 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 31 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 6 | 47 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 30 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 29 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 42 | 1 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 28 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 4 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 6 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 27 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 38 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 26 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 31 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 25 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 40 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 38 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 24 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 40 | 30 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | 23 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 41 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 44 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 22 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 42 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 21 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | 20 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 39 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 19 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 35 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
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