Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Guarani Playoff Chances 2016

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.07 to 99.7%

28 points 8-1-4

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 8/13	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Average seed
Macaé 2 Guarani 4	+1.0		+5.4		+0.2
Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1	-0.1		-0.9
Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3			-0.2
Tombense-MG 4 Mogi Mirim 0			+0.4
Juventude 1 Boa 1			+0.6

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 8/20	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Average seed
Boa vs Guarani	-0.6+0.1+0.3		-7.7+0.2+4.6		-0.3-0.0+0.2
Portuguesa vs Juventude	+0.1+0.1-0.1		+0.4+0.3-0.4
Mogi Mirim vs Macaé	-0.1+0.0+0.1		-0.2+0.1+0.2
Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SP	+0.1+0.1-0.0		+1.8+1.2-0.9		+0.1+0.1-0.0
Ypiranga-RS vs Tombense-MG	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.3+0.6-0.2

Chances based on how well the Guarani finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Série		Chance will finish regular season at seed										Série
TP		W	-	L	-	E	playoffs		B		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	D	Count

39	-43						In		Yes		100										No	2,990,047	*
38		3	-	1	-	1	In		Yes		99	1									No	1,763,416
37		3	-	2	-	0	In		100.0	%	95	5	0								No	757,972
		2	-	0	-	3	In		Yes		100										No	577,835
36		2	-	1	-	2	In		100.0		93	7	0								No	1,497,881
35		2	-	2	-	1	In		98.6		75	23	1	0							No	1,279,802
		1	-	0	-	4	In		99.7		89	11	0								No	163,690
34		1	-	1	-	3	In		97.8		69	29	2	0							No	563,159
		2	-	3	-	0	In		94.9		60	35	5	0							No	358,921
33		1	-	2	-	2	100.0	%	85.7		38	48	14	1	0						No	715,769
		0	-	0	-	5	In		92.0		50	42	8	0							No	18,696
32		1	-	3	-	1	99.7		60.2		16	45	33	6	0	0					No	400,169
		0	-	1	-	4	99.9		70.7		22	49	26	3	0						No	79,221
31		0	-	2	-	3	99.0		38.4		6	33	46	14	1	0					No	133,644
		1	-	4	-	0	98.7		38.5		6	32	45	15	1	0					No	82,874
30		0	-	3	-	2	88.3		10.3		1	10	39	39	11	1	0				No	110,569
29		0	-	4	-	1	64.2		2.2		0	2	19	43	30	6	0				No	45,220
28		0	-	5	-	0	38.8		0.2			0	6	33	43	16	2				No	8,475

Total:							99.7	%	94.6	%	82	12	4	1	0	0	0				No	11,547,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 8/13	100.0*	Lottery seed
Macaé 2 Guarani 4	-0.4
Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1	+0.1
Juventude 1 Boa 1	-0.1

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 8/20	100.0*	Lottery seed
Boa vs Guarani	+0.6+0.0-0.4
Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SP	-0.1-0.1+0.1

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	L	-	E	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

39	-43						100
38		3	-	1	-	1	99		1
37		3	-	2	-	0	94	2	5		0
		2	-	0	-	3	97	3
36		2	-	1	-	2	91	2	7		0
35		2	-	2	-	1	68	8	23	0	1		0
		1	-	0	-	4	77	12	11	0	0
34		1	-	1	-	3	53	15	29	0	2	0	0
		2	-	3	-	0	48	12	35	0	5	0	0
33		1	-	2	-	2	25	13	47	1	14	0	1		0
		0	-	0	-	5	31	19	41	1	8		0
32		1	-	3	-	1	7	9	40	5	33	0	6	0	0	0
		0	-	1	-	4	8	14	42	7	26	0	3		0
31		0	-	2	-	3	1	4	23	9	45	1	14	0	1	0
		1	-	4	-	0	2	4	26	6	44	1	15	0	1	0
30		0	-	3	-	2	0	1	5	5	35	4	39	0	11	1	0
29		0	-	4	-	1	0	0	1	2	13	6	41	2	30	6	0
28		0	-	5	-	0			0	0	3	3	29	4	43	16	2	0

Total:							78	4	12	1	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0