Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsSérie BChance will finish regular season at seedSérie D
PGW-L-EGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Guarani288-1-41399.2%-0.290.5%-1.87416621001.4-0.06No1Guarani
Botafogo-SP236-2-51176.2+16.838.1+13.6112722171284003.3+0.78No-0.03Botafogo-SP
Boa226-3-4967.4-2.827.8-4.0720211815116003.7-0.13No2Boa Esporte Clube
Ypiranga-RS206-5-2-245.8-3.313.7-2.93111517181816204.7-0.120.0%9Ypiranga-RS
Juventude205-3-51041.2-3.211.6-1.62101316181918304.9-0.090.0-0.08Juventude
Tombense-MG205-3-5740.2-3.211.4-1.72101316182019304.9-0.090.0-0.04Tombense-MG
Mogi Mirim195-4-4-129.6-2.77.0-1.61610131721275105.4-0.080.0-0.07Mogi Mirim
Macaé113-8-2-100.2-0.10.0-0.0000126414568.4+0.0924.5-1.815Macaé
Portuguesa113-8-2-90.2-1.30.0-0.1000025424468.5-0.3324.3+8.817Portuguesa
Guaratinguetá41-11-1-28OutNo039889.9+0.0394.3-0.920Guaratinguetá

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/13
Tombense-MG 4 Mogi Mirim 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani+0.6
Botafogo-SP-0.4
+0.8
Boa-0.2
+0.5
Ypiranga-RS*+0.1
+0.3
Juventude-0.2
+0.4
Tombense-MG+17.7
+6.9
-0.3
+0.9
Mogi Mirim-17.0
-9.7
-0.8
Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani-0.2
-1.9
Botafogo-SP+17.6
+14.6
*No
+0.8
Boa-3.0
-4.4
Ypiranga-RS-3.3
-2.8
Juventude-3.4
-1.9
Tombense-MG-3.4
-1.9
Mogi Mirim-3.0
-1.6
Macaé-2.2
Portuguesa-1.4
+9.2
-0.3
Guaratinguetá-0.8
Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani-0.2
-0.8
Botafogo-SP-3.2
-1.4
Boa-2.8
-1.7
Ypiranga-RS+16.4
+6.8
+0.8
Juventude-3.4
-1.4
Tombense-MG-3.5
-0.8
Mogi Mirim-3.0
-0.6
Macaé-1.8
Portuguesa-0.3
-1.4
Guaratinguetá+7.2
-0.1
Juventude 1 Boa 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani+0.9
Botafogo-SP+1.3
+2.8
Boa-1.7
-4.4
-0.1
Ypiranga-RS+1.3
+1.2
Juventude-4.2
-3.8
-0.2
Tombense-MG+1.6
+2.0
Mogi Mirim+1.5
+1.2
Macaé 2 Guarani 4
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani+3.1
+11.2
+0.4
Botafogo-SP-0.3
-2.7
Boa-0.2
-2.6
Ypiranga-RS-0.3
-1.1
Juventude-0.3
-1.8
Tombense-MG-0.2
-0.9
Mogi Mirim-0.4
-2.0
Macaé-1.4
+9.2
-0.4
Portuguesa-1.2
+0.1
Guaratinguetá-1.4
Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Macaé+3.8
Portuguesa+2.5
Guaratinguetá+1.7
América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Macaé+0.7
Portuguesa+0.6
Guaratinguetá+0.5
River-PI 0 ASA 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Macaé-0.8
Portuguesa-0.6
Guaratinguetá-0.2
Week of 8/20
Ypiranga-RS vs Tombense-MGIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP75.678.075.6
36.540.437.8
3.33.23.3
Boa66.369.966.6
27.230.126.6
3.83.63.8
Ypiranga-RS68.741.026.5
25.89.74.7
3.74.85.5
Juventude39.943.840.5
10.612.711.8
4.94.84.9
Tombense-MG21.535.162.8
3.47.822.1
0.00.0No
5.75.14.0
Mogi Mirim28.732.328.6
6.87.96.5
5.45.35.4
Portuguesa vs JuventudeHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP78.977.272.9
40.039.035.4
3.23.33.4
Boa70.168.963.5
29.529.025.1
3.63.73.9
Ypiranga-RS49.046.941.7
14.914.112.2
4.64.64.8
Juventude26.735.360.2
4.87.921.2
0.0NoNo
5.55.14.1
Tombense-MG43.241.436.4
12.211.810.3
4.84.85.0
Mogi Mirim32.030.926.3
7.57.36.3
5.35.35.5
Macaé27.923.821.6
8.68.48.3
Portuguesa0.40.00.0
0.0*NoNo
9.526.937.2
8.18.68.7
Guaratinguetá95.794.093.2
Boa vs GuaraniHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani98.099.6100.0
81.691.398.7
1.71.41.1
Botafogo-SP73.476.978.6
34.040.040.7
3.43.23.3
Boa84.963.153.1
46.221.813.9
2.94.04.4
Ypiranga-RS42.346.748.7
12.514.714.2
4.84.64.6
Juventude37.642.144.0
9.712.612.7
5.04.84.8
Tombense-MG36.841.143.0
9.512.312.6
5.04.94.8
Mogi Mirim26.730.232.2
6.47.47.2
5.55.45.3
Mogi Mirim vs MacaéHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP73.477.278.3
36.038.839.5
3.43.33.2
Boa63.968.570.0
26.528.328.7
3.93.73.6
Ypiranga-RS42.447.148.3
12.914.114.3
4.84.64.6
Juventude37.842.543.5
10.911.912.1
5.04.84.8
Tombense-MG36.841.542.7
10.411.812.0
5.04.84.8
Mogi Mirim46.723.817.0
13.74.32.3
No0.00.0
4.65.66.0
MacaéOut0.00.5
NoNo0.0
37.427.19.5
8.78.68.1
Portuguesa21.323.627.8
8.38.48.6
Guaratinguetá93.294.195.7
Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SPHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani92.291.588.0
1.31.41.5
Botafogo-SP63.773.990.6
23.932.656.5
3.93.52.6
Boa69.768.064.6
31.929.622.2
3.63.73.9
Ypiranga-RS48.446.143.0
16.614.510.3
4.64.64.8
Juventude43.941.738.1
13.612.29.1
4.84.85.0
Tombense-MG42.940.737.2
13.412.18.9
4.84.95.0
Mogi Mirim31.730.127.2
8.57.65.0
5.35.45.5
Macaé0.0*0.0No
26.124.023.3
8.58.48.4
Portuguesa0.0*0.0No
25.923.723.2
8.58.48.4
Guaratinguetá88.596.698.4
9.79.99.9
River-PI vs Botafogo-PBHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Macaé29.323.620.4
Portuguesa29.023.520.2
Guaratinguetá95.594.293.3
Remo vs ConfiançaHomeEmpateAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Macaé22.524.426.6
Portuguesa22.3*24.226.4
Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MTHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Macaé22.9*24.426.1
Portuguesa22.7*24.225.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.