Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsSérie BChance will finish regular season at seedSérie D
PGW-L-EGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Guarani288-1-41399.7%-0.194.6%-1.28212410001.2-0.05No1.661Guarani
Botafogo-SP236-2-51183.7+13.944.5+14.0103524161052003.0+0.62No3.560Botafogo-SP
Boa226-3-4974.8-1.829.4-5.052426191384003.5-0.11No2.540Boa Esporte Clube
Tombense-MG205-3-5744.0-3.210.7-2.31101419202114104.7-0.110.0%4.499Tombense-MG
Juventude205-3-51041.3-3.39.8-2.1191318202017104.8-0.110.08.499Juventude
Ypiranga-RS206-5-2-236.9-3.08.0-2.3171217202220105.0-0.110.09.499Ypiranga-RS
Mogi Mirim195-4-4-119.4-2.22.9-1.003610162339305.8-0.070.0-0.07.479Mogi Mirim
Macaé113-8-2-100.0-0.00.0000013484718.4+0.0924.1-2.115.317Macaé
Portuguesa113-8-2-90.0-0.20.0-0.0000002465118.5-0.1626.6+8.417.317Portuguesa
Guaratinguetá41-11-1-28OutNo0129710.0+0.0199.0-0.220.176Guaratinguetá

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/13
Tombense-MG 4 Mogi Mirim 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani+0.4
Botafogo-SP-0.5
+0.7
Boa-0.1
+0.3
Tombense-MG+18.5
+5.5
+0.8
Juventude-0.1
+0.2
-0.0
Ypiranga-RS-0.0
Mogi Mirim-17.7
-7.2
-0.7
Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani-0.9
Botafogo-SP+12.3
+11.7
+0.5
Boa-2.1
-4.6
-0.1
Tombense-MG-2.7
-1.8
-0.1
Juventude-2.7
-1.6
-0.1
Ypiranga-RS-2.6
-1.9
-0.1
Mogi Mirim-1.9
-0.9
-0.1
Macaé-2.0
+0.1
Portuguesa-0.2
+7.0
-0.1
Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani-0.2
Botafogo-SP-1.7
-0.6
-0.1
Boa-1.4
-0.6
-0.0
Tombense-MG-2.1
-0.3
-0.1
Juventude-2.0
-0.5
-0.1
Ypiranga-RS+8.6
+2.3
No
+0.4
Mogi Mirim-1.3
-0.1
Macaé-0.4
Portuguesa-0.4
Guaratinguetá+1.6
-0.0
Juventude 1 Boa 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani+0.6
Botafogo-SP+1.0
+3.9
+0.1
Boa-1.4
-5.3
-0.1
Tombense-MG+1.4
+2.2
+0.1
Juventude-3.5
-3.1
-0.1
Ypiranga-RS+1.2
+1.0
+0.0
Mogi Mirim+1.2
+0.6
Macaé 2 Guarani 4
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani+1.0
+5.4
+0.2
Botafogo-SP-0.2
-1.7
-0.0
Boa-1.5
-0.1
Tombense-MG-0.3
Juventude-0.2
-0.8
Ypiranga-RS-0.4
Mogi Mirim-0.2
-0.8
Macaé-0.2
+4.4
-0.1
Portuguesa-0.7
+0.1
Guaratinguetá-0.2
Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Macaé+5.7
Portuguesa+4.4
Guaratinguetá+0.7
América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Macaé+0.6
Portuguesa+0.6
Confiança 1 ABC 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Macaé+0.2
Portuguesa+0.1
River-PI 0 ASA 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Macaé+0.1
Portuguesa*+0.1
Week of 8/20
Ypiranga-RS vs Tombense-MGIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani94.495.294.5
Botafogo-SP83.385.383.0
44.146.943.2
3.03.03.1
Boa73.777.473.9
29.731.627.3
3.53.43.6
Tombense-MG24.339.967.6
3.37.421.0
5.44.93.8
Juventude40.344.539.9
9.410.79.6
4.94.74.8
Ypiranga-RS59.631.318.0
16.24.91.9
4.15.25.7
Mogi Mirim19.121.817.9
3.03.32.5
5.85.75.8
Portuguesa vs JuventudeHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani95.094.994.3
Botafogo-SP86.785.281.5
46.946.042.6
2.93.03.1
Boa78.377.071.9
31.530.927.5
3.43.43.6
Tombense-MG48.746.440.5
11.611.210.1
4.64.64.8
Juventude23.131.455.6
3.05.315.6
5.65.24.3
Ypiranga-RS41.439.133.6
8.88.57.3
4.84.95.1
Mogi Mirim22.021.217.2
3.23.12.7
5.75.75.9
Macaé29.724.421.2
8.78.48.4
Portuguesa0.10.0Out
7.225.436.6
8.28.58.6
Guaratinguetá99.4*99.098.8
Boa vs GuaraniHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani99.099.8100.0
86.994.899.3
1.51.31.1
Botafogo-SP81.583.885.0
36.646.148.5
3.13.03.0
Boa91.174.265.3
52.325.917.4
2.73.64.0
Tombense-MG40.544.146.1
8.011.312.1
4.84.74.6
Juventude37.741.543.4
7.310.311.1
4.94.84.8
Ypiranga-RS33.437.139.1
6.68.58.5
5.15.04.9
Mogi Mirim16.8*19.521.0
2.43.13.2
5.95.85.7
Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SPHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani96.495.993.8
1.21.21.3
Botafogo-SP65.274.790.9
22.330.854.5
3.93.52.7
Boa78.076.673.5
38.035.125.3
3.33.43.6
Tombense-MG48.246.142.4
14.212.89.2
4.54.64.8
Juventude45.643.439.7
13.011.78.4
4.74.74.9
Ypiranga-RS41.038.735.5
11.69.96.5
4.84.95.0
Mogi Mirim22.120.818.3
4.43.92.3
5.75.75.8
Macaé25.1*24.123.9
Portuguesa27.8*26.626.4
Guaratinguetá95.599.199.6
9.910.010.0
Mogi Mirim vs MacaéHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP82.484.885.3
43.745.345.4
3.13.03.0
Boa72.876.477.3
28.929.729.9
3.63.53.4
Tombense-MG41.745.946.8
10.411.011.1
4.84.64.6
Juventude39.243.043.6
4.94.74.7
Ypiranga-RS35.038.539.2
5.14.94.9
Mogi Mirim29.411.87.9
5.21.10.6
No0.00.0
5.36.16.4
MacaéOut0.00.1
33.523.06.3
8.68.58.1
Portuguesa23.727.032.1
8.48.58.7
Guaratinguetá98.8*99.099.4
River-PI vs Botafogo-PBHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Macaé31.224.820.8
Portuguesa34.527.423.0
Remo vs ConfiançaHomeEmpateAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Macaé22.724.426.3
Portuguesa25.127.029.0
Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MTHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Macaé22.724.225.8
Portuguesa25.226.728.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.