Grupo A Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Série B			Chance will finish regular season at seed												Série D
	P	G	W	-	L	-	E	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

Botafogo-PB	22		6	-	3	-	4	6	85.8	%	+16.6	55.5	%	+18.9	31	24	18	13	8	4	2	0	0	0	2.6	+0.91	No		-0.0	6	Botafogo-PB
Fortaleza	22		6	-	3	-	4	5	84.2		-0.5	54.6		-0.7	32	22	17	13	9	5	2	0	0	0	2.7	-0.03	No		-0.0	11	Fortaleza
Remo	20		5	-	3	-	5	4	64.3		-12.5	29.0		-16.9	12	17	18	17	14	11	7	3	1	0	3.8	-0.73	0.0	%	+0.0	10	Remo
ASA	20		5	-	3	-	5	1	63.4		-0.7	28.9		-0.5	13	16	17	17	15	11	7	3	1	0	3.8	-0.02	0.0		-0.0	5	ASA

ABC	19		5	-	4	-	4	4	54.3		-1.2	22.0		-0.6	9	13	16	17	17	14	9	4	1	0	4.3	-0.04	0.0		-0.0	12	ABC
América-RN	16		4	-	5	-	4	-2	20.4		-0.7	4.9		-0.1	1	4	6	9	13	17	20	16	10	3	6.2	-0.02	1.2		-0.3	13	América-RN
Salgueiro	16		4	-	5	-	4	-3	19.5		-0.4	4.4		-0.2	1	3	6	9	13	18	19	15	10	4	6.3	-0.02	1.5		-0.3	14	Salgueiro
Cuiabá-MT	13		3	-	6	-	4	-1	4.5		-0.3	0.4		-0.0	0	0	1	3	6	9	14	22	25	19	7.9	-0.01	10.5		-1.2	16	Cuiabá-MT
Confiança	13		2	-	4	-	7	-7	2.7		-0.2	0.3		-0.0	0	0	1	2	4	7	12	21	28	25	8.3	-0.01	12.9		-1.7	18	Confiança
River-PI	11		2	-	6	-	5	-7	0.9		-0.1	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	15	23	48	8.9	-0.01	30.8		-2.6	19	River-PI

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 8/13
Botafogo-PB 2 Remo 0
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Série D	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo-PB	+17.2		+20.2		No		+1.0
Fortaleza	-0.5		-0.8
Remo	-13.4		-17.8				-0.8
ASA	-0.6		-0.5
ABC	-1.1		-0.7
América-RN	-0.7
Salgueiro	-0.4		-0.2
Cuiabá-MT	-0.2
Confiança	-0.2

América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Série D	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo-PB	+0.9		+0.8
Fortaleza	+0.7		+0.9
Remo	+0.9		+0.7
ASA	+0.9		+0.7
ABC	+0.8		+0.4
América-RN	+9.3		+2.2		-5.5		+0.9
Salgueiro	-13.9		-5.6		+1.2		-0.9
Cuiabá-MT					+0.8
Confiança	+0.2				+0.5
River-PI					+1.2

Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Série D	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo-PB	+0.8		+2.8
Fortaleza	-6.7		-12.5				-0.5
Remo	+0.5		+2.8
ASA	+0.7		+2.8
ABC	+0.7		+2.4
América-RN	+0.5		+0.6		+0.4
Salgueiro	+0.9		+0.7		+0.4
Cuiabá-MT	+2.4		+0.2		-14.4		+0.6
Confiança					+2.2
River-PI					+3.4

Confiança 1 ABC 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Série D	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo-PB	+1.3		+1.1
Fortaleza	+0.6		+1.2
Remo	+1.0		+1.1
ASA	+1.1		+1.0
ABC	-3.9		-4.4				-0.2
América-RN	+0.9		+0.2
Salgueiro	+0.9		+0.2
Cuiabá-MT	+0.2				-0.3
Confiança	-2.3		-0.5		+0.8		-0.2
River-PI	+0.2				-0.3

River-PI 0 ASA 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Série D	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo-PB	+1.0		+1.1
Fortaleza	+0.4		+1.2
Remo	+0.8		+1.4
ASA	-3.4		-5.0				-0.2
ABC	+0.9		+0.9
América-RN	+0.6		+0.2		-0.2
Salgueiro	+0.5		+0.2		-0.2
Cuiabá-MT					-0.8
Confiança	+0.2				-0.3
River-PI	-1.1				+3.0		-0.2

Macaé 2 Guarani 4
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Série D	100.0*	Average seed
América-RN					-0.8
Salgueiro					-0.2
Cuiabá-MT					-2.0
Confiança					-1.4
River-PI					-2.0

Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Série D	100.0*	Average seed
América-RN					-0.3
Salgueiro					-0.4
Cuiabá-MT					-1.2
Confiança					-1.7
River-PI					-2.6

Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Série D	100.0*	Average seed
Cuiabá-MT					-1.4
Confiança					-0.7
River-PI					-1.5

Week of 8/20
ASA vs América-RNIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Série D	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo-PB	85.487.085.3		51.857.857.4				2.72.62.6
Fortaleza	83.285.4*84.2		51.356.656.3				2.82.62.6
Remo	62.866.2*64.2		26.030.530.8				3.93.83.8
ASA	83.460.245.9		46.123.515.8		No0.00.0		2.94.04.7
ABC	52.556.254.7		19.923.323.1				4.34.24.3
América-RN	7.515.237.2		0.72.710.9		2.41.00.0		7.16.55.2

ABC vs FortalezaHomeEmpateAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Série D	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo-PB	84.386.486.8		55.257.854.0				2.72.62.7
Fortaleza	72.0*84.296.3		36.551.475.1				3.42.81.9
Remo	62.165.265.7		29.431.526.7				3.93.83.9
ASA	61.264.464.9		29.131.027.0				3.93.83.9
ABC	75.849.736.4		39.717.18.1		No0.00.0		3.24.55.2

Remo vs ConfiançaHomeEmpateAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Série D	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo-PB	83.986.787.0		51.057.258.7				2.82.62.5
Fortaleza	82.384.985.5		50.356.357.6				2.82.62.6
Remo	82.460.149.3		46.023.016.5		No0.00.0		2.94.04.6
ASA	60.464.665.5		25.430.131.5				4.03.83.8
ABC	51.155.556.6		19.323.024.0				4.44.24.2
América-RN	18.021.122.2		4.15.25.6		1.0*1.11.4		6.36.26.3
Salgueiro	17.120.321.3		3.64.74.9		1.3*1.51.8
Confiança	0.31.06.4		0.00.00.7		21.413.63.8		8.88.57.6
River-PI					28.530.533.2		8.88.99.1

Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MTHomeEmpateAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Série D	100.0*	Average seed
Remo	62.065.665.5		28.329.429.4				3.93.83.8
ASA	61.464.864.4		28.029.329.4				3.93.83.8
ABC	52.355.855.3		21.322.422.4				4.44.24.3
Salgueiro	34.514.68.2		9.32.41.0		0.01.23.3		5.26.57.2
Cuiabá-MT	0.82.59.9		0.00.11.1		18.011.22.4		8.78.27.0

River-PI vs Botafogo-PBHomeEmpateAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Série D	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo-PB	76.484.696.1		40.550.674.2				3.22.81.9
Fortaleza	84.984.483.2		58.155.750.2				2.62.62.8
Remo	65.664.762.6		32.330.324.7				3.73.84.0
ASA	64.763.761.9		32.230.124.7				3.83.84.0
ABC	55.954.752.4		24.822.918.6				4.24.24.4
Cuiabá-MT	4.9*4.64.2				12.610.08.8		8.17.97.8
Confiança	3.02.82.3				15.212.510.9		8.48.28.2
River-PI	2.20.20.0		0.10.0No		14.634.044.5		8.49.29.4

Mogi Mirim vs MacaéHomeEmpateAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Série D	100.0*	Average seed
Cuiabá-MT					8.710.112.6
Confiança					10.512.515.6
River-PI					26.930.135.1

Portuguesa vs JuventudeHomeEmpateAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Série B	100.0*	Série D	100.0*	Average seed
Cuiabá-MT					12.610.18.7
Confiança					15.612.510.5
River-PI					35.130.126.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.