Fortaleza Playoff Chances 2016 50/50Did not play, playoff odds down 0.5 to 84.2% 22 points 6-3-4 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 8/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Série B | 100.0* | Average seed | | Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0 | -6.7 | | -12.5 | | -0.5 | | | América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0 | +0.7 | | +0.9 | | +0.0 | | | Confiança 1 ABC 1 | +0.6 | | +1.2 | | +0.0 | | | Botafogo-PB 2 Remo 0 | -0.5 | | -0.8 | | -0.0 | | | River-PI 0 ASA 0 | +0.4 | | +1.2 | | +0.0 | | | | If winner is:HomeEmpateAway | | Week of 8/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Série B | 100.0* | Average seed | | ABC vs Fortaleza | -12.2*+0.0+12.2 | | -18.1-3.2+20.6 | | -0.7-0.1+0.8 | | | Remo vs Confiança | -1.9+0.8+1.3 | | -4.3+1.8+3.0 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MT | -1.7+0.9+1.0 | | -1.0+0.5+0.6 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | | ASA vs América-RN | -1.0+1.3*+0.0 | | -3.3+2.0+1.8 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | | River-PI vs Botafogo-PB | +0.8+0.2-0.9 | | +3.6+1.1-4.4 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Fortaleza finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance in | Série | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Série | | | TP | W | - | L | - | E | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | D | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 37 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,705 | | | 35 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 91,218 | | | 34 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 100.0 | % | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 118,702 | | | 33 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100.0 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 139,426 | | | 32 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 99.5 | | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 364,587 | | | 31 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 96.1 | | 61 | 35 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 238,148 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 98.8 | | 76 | 23 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 106,774 | | | 30 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 91.2 | | 48 | 44 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 417,573 | | | 29 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.9 | | 67.0 | | 19 | 48 | 28 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | No | 546,992 | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 100.0 | | 77.6 | | 28 | 49 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | No | 40,427 | | | 28 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 98.0 | | 36.4 | | 5 | 31 | 44 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | No | 238,207 | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.1 | | 45.5 | | 8 | 37 | 41 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 212,601 | | | 27 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 91.1 | | 14.2 | | 1 | 13 | 41 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 417,820 | | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 93.3 | | 18.0 | | 2 | 16 | 42 | 33 | 7 | 0 | | | | | No | 6,246 | | | 26 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 60.5 | | 1.5 | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 43 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 364,721 | | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 67.6 | | 2.4 | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 45 | 27 | 5 | 0 | | | | No | 40,701 | | | 25 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 26.7 | | 0.1 | | | 0 | 3 | 24 | 45 | 24 | 3 | 0 | | | No | 119,572 | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 29.6 | | 0.1 | | | 0 | 4 | 26 | 45 | 22 | 3 | 0 | | | No | 106,916 | | | 24 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 6.2 | | No | | | 0 | 6 | 33 | 44 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | No | 138,513 | | | 23 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.4 | | No | | | | 0 | 11 | 41 | 40 | 7 | 0 | | No | 90,850 | | | 22 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | 2 | 25 | 50 | 20 | 2 | 0 | No | 24,421 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 84.2 | % | 54.6 | % | 32 | 22 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,849,120 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big Games| Week of 8/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | | Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0 | +1.0 | | | Confiança 1 ABC 1 | -0.1 | | | River-PI 0 ASA 0 | -0.1 | | | América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0 | -0.1 | | | Macaé 2 Guarani 4 | +0.1 | | | Botafogo-PB 2 Remo 0 | +0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeEmpateAway | | Week of 8/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | | ABC vs Fortaleza | +1.5+0.2-1.6 | | | River-PI vs Botafogo-PB | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | | | Remo vs Confiança | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | ASA vs América-RN | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | | Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MT | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | | TP | W | - | L | - | E | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 37 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 79 | 21 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 35 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 54 | 46 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 34 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 36 | 60 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 20 | 76 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 32 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 7 | 75 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 31 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 59 | 16 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | 74 | 8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 30 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 47 | 7 | 37 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 29 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 45 | 9 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | | 28 | 1 | 48 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | | 5 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 36 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | | 8 | 0 | 37 | 3 | 38 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 27 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | 1 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 40 | 5 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | | 2 | | 16 | 0 | 42 | 3 | 30 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 26 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 41 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 44 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 25 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | | 3 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | | 4 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 24 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 35 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 23 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 38 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 22 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 41 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5 | 28 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | |
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