Confiança Playoff Chances 2016 50/50Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 2.7% 13 points 2-4-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Série B | 100.0* | Série D | 100.0* | Average seed | Confiança 1 ABC 1 | -2.3 | | -0.5 | | +0.8 | | -0.2 | | River-PI 0 ASA 0 | +0.2 | | +0.1 | | -0.3 | | +0.0 | | Botafogo-PB 2 Remo 0 | -0.2 | | | | | | | | América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0 | +0.2 | | | | +0.5 | | -0.1 | | Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0 | *+0.1 | | +0.1 | | +2.2 | | -0.1 | | Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 | | | | | -1.7 | | | | Macaé 2 Guarani 4 | | | | | -1.4 | | | | Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | | If winner is:HomeEmpateAway | Week of 8/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Série B | 100.0* | Série D | 100.0* | Average seed | Remo vs Confiança | -2.4-1.7+3.7 | | -0.3-0.2+0.5 | | +8.5+0.7-9.1 | | -0.6-0.2+0.7 | | ASA vs América-RN | -0.4+0.4+0.1 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | ABC vs Fortaleza | -0.4+0.3+0.2 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | River-PI vs Botafogo-PB | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +2.3-0.4-2.0 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MT | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | | | -1.1*-0.0+1.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | Mogi Mirim vs Macaé | | | | | -2.4-0.4+2.7 | | | | Portuguesa vs Juventude | | | | | +2.7-0.4-2.4 | | | | Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SP | | | | | +0.6-0.3-0.4 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Confiança finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Série | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Série | | TP | W | - | L | - | E | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | D | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 97.9 | % | 37.0 | % | 5 | 32 | 43 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | No | 24,493 | | 26 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 51.8 | | 1.2 | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 38 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | No | 90,846 | | 25 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 24.0 | | 0.1 | | | 0 | 3 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 5 | 0 | | | No | 119,529 | | 24 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 2.9 | | No | | | 0 | 3 | 24 | 48 | 22 | 2 | 0 | | No | 139,226 | | 23 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 45 | 18 | 1 | 0 | No | 365,109 | | 22 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 238,754 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | 1 | 14 | 44 | 36 | 5 | 0 | No | 105,726 | | 21 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | 0 | 2 | 22 | 52 | 22 | 1 | 0.0 | | 417,835 | | 20 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 40 | 47 | 8 | 0.6 | | 547,730 | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 45 | 42 | 4 | 0.4 | | 40,146 | | 19 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 22 | 56 | 21 | 3.3 | | 238,191 | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 25 | 57 | 17 | 2.7 | | 212,825 | | 18 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 52 | 39 | 11.6 | | 417,871 | | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 57 | 33 | 9.7 | | 6,199 | | 17 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 35 | 62 | 28.4 | | 364,375 | | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 3 | 41 | 56 | 25.7 | | 40,371 | | 16 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 21 | 79 | 49.7 | | 119,126 | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 22 | 77 | 48.4 | | 106,910 | | 15 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | 72.7 | | 138,831 | | 14 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 89.3 | | 90,825 | | 13 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 96.7 | | 24,202 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.7 | % | 0.3 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 28 | 25 | 12.9 | % | 3,849,120 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 8/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Confiança 1 ABC 1 | +0.4 | | Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0 | +0.1 | | Macaé 2 Guarani 4 | -0.1 | | Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 | -0.1 | | América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0 | +0.1 | | River-PI 0 ASA 0 | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeEmpateAway | Week of 8/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Remo vs Confiança | +1.0+0.4-1.3 | | Portuguesa vs Juventude | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | River-PI vs Botafogo-PB | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | Mogi Mirim vs Macaé | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | ASA vs América-RN | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MT | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | - | L | - | E | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | | 5 | 0 | 31 | 6 | 37 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 26 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 25 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 24 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | | | | | | 0 | | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 23 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 35 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 22 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | 21 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 20 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 41 | 26 | 7 | 1 | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 27 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 0 | | 19 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 38 | 18 | 3 | 0 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 37 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 18 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 35 | 12 | 0 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 17 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 23 | 43 | 28 | 0 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 26 | 43 | 25 | 0 | 16 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 48 | 2 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 46 | 2 | 15 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 24 | 67 | 6 | 14 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 74 | 15 | 13 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 71 | 26 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 1 |
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