Botafogo-SP Playoff Chances 2016 50/50Beat Portuguesa 2-1, playoff odds up 16.8 to 76.2% 23 points 6-2-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Série B | 100.0* | Série D | 100.0* | Average seed | Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 | +17.6 | | +14.6 | | *No | | +0.8 | | Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3 | -3.2 | | -1.4 | | | | -0.1 | | Juventude 1 Boa 1 | +1.3 | | +2.8 | | | | +0.1 | | Tombense-MG 4 Mogi Mirim 0 | -0.4 | | +0.8 | | | | -0.0 | | Macaé 2 Guarani 4 | -0.3 | | -2.7 | | | | -0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeEmpateAway | Week of 8/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Série B | 100.0* | Série D | 100.0* | Average seed | Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SP | -12.5-2.4+14.4 | | -14.2-5.5+18.4 | | | | -0.6-0.2+0.7 | | Portuguesa vs Juventude | +2.7+0.9-3.4 | | +1.9+0.9-2.6 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Boa vs Guarani | -2.8+0.6+2.3 | | -4.1+2.0+2.6 | | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | Mogi Mirim vs Macaé | -2.8+0.9+2.1 | | -2.1+0.8+1.5 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Ypiranga-RS vs Tombense-MG | -0.7+1.8-0.7 | | -1.5+2.4-0.3 | | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Botafogo-SP finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Série | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Série | | TP | W | - | L | - | E | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | D | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 38 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | No | 24,280 | | 36 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 100.0 | % | 84 | 16 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 91,169 | | 35 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 99.4 | | 68 | 32 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 118,884 | | 34 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 97.5 | | 48 | 50 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 138,792 | | 33 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 92.9 | | 33 | 60 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 365,017 | | 32 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 77.1 | | 15 | 62 | 21 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | No | 238,461 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 100.0 | | 77.1 | | 11 | 66 | 22 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 106,548 | | 31 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.8 | | 56.8 | | 4 | 52 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 418,512 | | 30 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 97.7 | | 31.6 | | 1 | 31 | 47 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | No | 547,734 | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 98.2 | | 30.8 | | 0 | 30 | 49 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | No | 40,394 | | 29 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 87.4 | | 12.3 | | 0 | 12 | 39 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | No | 238,307 | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 88.8 | | 11.4 | | 0 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | No | 212,455 | | 28 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 67.3 | | 2.9 | | | 3 | 22 | 43 | 27 | 5 | 0 | | | | No | 417,221 | | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 71.0 | | 3.7 | | | 4 | 23 | 44 | 25 | 4 | 0 | | | | No | 6,141 | | 27 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 36.2 | | 0.4 | | | 0 | 7 | 29 | 42 | 20 | 2 | | | | No | 365,333 | | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 36.7 | | 0.3 | | | 0 | 6 | 30 | 43 | 19 | 2 | | | | No | 40,886 | | 26 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 12.6 | | 0.0 | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 39 | 10 | 0 | | | No | 118,748 | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 11.5 | | 0.0 | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 40 | 11 | 0 | | | No | 105,848 | | 25 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 2.0 | | No | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 49 | 29 | 0 | | | No | 138,832 | | 24 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.1 | | No | | | | 0 | 5 | 38 | 53 | 3 | 0 | | No | 91,070 | | 23 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | 1 | 19 | 68 | 12 | 1 | | No | 24,488 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 76.2 | % | 38.1 | % | 11 | 27 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | No | 3,849,120 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 8/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 | -1.6 | | Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3 | +0.2 | | Juventude 1 Boa 1 | -0.1 | | Macaé 2 Guarani 4 | +0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeEmpateAway | Week of 8/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SP | +1.2+0.3-1.4 | | Portuguesa vs Juventude | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | | Mogi Mirim vs Macaé | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | Boa vs Guarani | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | Ypiranga-RS vs Tombense-MG | +0.1-0.1+0.0 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | - | L | - | E | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 38 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 98 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 36 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 83 | 1 | 16 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 35 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 65 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 34 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 41 | 7 | 49 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 26 | 6 | 60 | 0 | 7 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 32 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 6 | 5 | 62 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 31 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 2 | 3 | 45 | 8 | 37 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 30 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 45 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | 47 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 29 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | | 0 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 28 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 4 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | | | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 39 | 5 | 25 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 27 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 8 | 40 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 11 | 40 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 26 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 38 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 38 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 25 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 24 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 23 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 9 | 2 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | |
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