How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 +17.6
+14.6
*No
+0.8
Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3 -3.2
-1.4
-0.1
Juventude 1 Boa 1 +1.3
+2.8
+0.1
Tombense-MG 4 Mogi Mirim 0 -0.4
+0.8
-0.0
Macaé 2 Guarani 4 -0.3
-2.7
-0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SP-12.5-2.4+14.4
-14.2-5.5+18.4
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Portuguesa vs Juventude+2.7+0.9-3.4
+1.9+0.9-2.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Boa vs Guarani-2.8+0.6+2.3
-4.1+2.0+2.6
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Mogi Mirim vs Macaé-2.8+0.9+2.1
-2.1+0.8+1.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ypiranga-RS vs Tombense-MG-0.7+1.8-0.7
-1.5+2.4-0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo-SP finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSérieChance will finish regular season at seedSérie
TPW-L-EplayoffsB12345678910DCount
385-0-0InYes982No24,280
364-0-1In100.0%84160No91,169
354-1-0In99.4683210No118,884
343-0-2In97.5485020No138,792
333-1-1In92.9336070No365,017
323-2-0100.0%77.115622120No238,461
2-0-3100.077.111662210No106,548
312-1-299.856.845237600No418,512
302-2-197.731.6131472020No547,734
1-0-498.230.8030491820No40,394
292-3-087.412.301239361110No238,307
1-1-388.811.401140371010No212,455
281-2-267.32.9322432750No417,221
0-0-571.03.7423442540No6,141
271-3-136.20.4072942202No365,333
0-1-436.70.3063043192No40,886
261-4-012.60.001123839100No118,748
0-2-311.50.001113840110No105,848
250-3-22.0No022049290No138,832
240-4-10.1No05385330No91,070
230-5-0OutNo11968121No24,488
Total:76.2%38.1%11272217128400No3,849,120
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/13100.0*Lottery seed
Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 -1.6
Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3 +0.2
Juventude 1 Boa 1 -0.1
Macaé 2 Guarani 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Lottery seed
Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SP+1.2+0.3-1.4
Portuguesa vs Juventude-0.2-0.1+0.2
Mogi Mirim vs Macaé+0.2-0.1-0.1
Boa vs Guarani+0.2-0.1-0.1
Ypiranga-RS vs Tombense-MG+0.1-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-E1234567891011121314151617181920
385-0-0982
364-0-1831160
354-1-065332010
343-0-241749020
333-1-126660070
323-2-09560221020
2-0-36562422010
312-1-2234583706000
302-2-10122845220020
1-0-400191147318020
292-3-000663353601110
1-1-30483193611010
281-2-20212939427500
0-0-50311123952540
271-3-100242284020300
0-1-4001519114020300
261-4-000157303816300
0-2-300138273819510
250-3-200029293519510
240-4-100110273621500
230-5-0018253723510
Total:922341931521163210000