América-RN Playoff Chances 2016Did not play, playoff odds down 0.5 to 13.7% 16 points 4-5-4 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 8/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Série B | 100.0* | Série D | 100.0* | Average seed | | América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0 | +5.4 | | +0.8 | | -3.4 | | +0.8 | | | Confiança 1 ABC 1 | +0.9 | | +0.2 | | | | +0.1 | | | River-PI 0 ASA 0 | +0.9 | | +0.2 | | | | | | | Botafogo-PB 2 Remo 0 | -0.7 | | -0.1 | | | | | | | Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0 | +0.6 | | +0.4 | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | | Macaé 2 Guarani 4 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | | Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeEmpateAway | | Week of 8/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Série B | 100.0* | Série D | 100.0* | Average seed | | ASA vs América-RN | -9.1-3.2+15.9 | | -2.1-1.1+3.9 | | +0.3-0.1-0.3 | | -0.6-0.1+1.0 | | | Remo vs Confiança | -1.8+1.1+2.1 | | -0.4+0.3+0.4 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | | | River-PI vs Botafogo-PB | +1.4+0.4-0.8 | | +0.8+0.3-0.5 | | +0.3-0.0-0.1 | | | | | ABC vs Fortaleza | -1.3+0.5+0.7 | | *-0.0+0.3-0.2 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | | Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MT | -1.0+0.7+0.7 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | | Portuguesa vs Juventude | | | | | +0.3-0.0-0.1 | | | | | Mogi Mirim vs Macaé | | | | | -0.1*-0.0+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the América-RN finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance in | Série | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Série | | | TP | W | - | L | - | E | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | D | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 31 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 94.6 | % | 53 | 42 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 48,984 | | | 29 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.8 | % | 59.8 | | 13 | 47 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 200,540 | | | 28 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 96.1 | | 24.3 | | 2 | 22 | 46 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 286,574 | | | 27 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 85.6 | | 8.8 | | 0 | 8 | 36 | 41 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | No | 333,682 | | | 26 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 52.1 | | 0.8 | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 40 | 38 | 10 | 1 | | | | No | 951,059 | | | 25 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 20.9 | | 0.0 | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 29 | 4 | 0 | | | No | 673,261 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 22.3 | | 0.1 | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 44 | 29 | 4 | 0 | | | No | 276,562 | | | 24 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 5.7 | | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 47 | 14 | 0 | 0 | | No | 1,175,469 | | | 23 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.5 | | No | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 48 | 36 | 3 | 0 | | No | 1,650,302 | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0.4 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 0 | | No | 113,413 | | | 22 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | 0 | 3 | 30 | 53 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 768,679 | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | 0 | 2 | 29 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 0 | No | 638,884 | | | 21 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 1,338,684 | | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | 0 | 9 | 57 | 31 | 3 | 0 | No | 18,636 | | | 20 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | 0 | 3 | 35 | 48 | 14 | 0 | 0.0 | | 1,236,916 | | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | 0 | 2 | 34 | 48 | 16 | 1 | 0.0 | | 129,415 | | | 19 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 14 | 49 | 34 | 2 | 0.1 | | 425,312 | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 15 | 48 | 33 | 3 | 0.1 | | 358,524 | | | 18 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 32 | 53 | 11 | 1.3 | | 492,557 | | | 17 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 61 | 27 | 5.7 | | 336,886 | | | 16 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 1 | 53 | 46 | 15.0 | | 93,021 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 13.7 | % | 2.4 | % | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 26 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0.3 | % | 11,547,360 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big Games| Week of 8/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | | América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0 | -1.4 | | | Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3 | +0.1 | | | Confiança 1 ABC 1 | -0.1 | | | Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0 | +0.1 | | | Macaé 2 Guarani 4 | -0.1 | | | River-PI 0 ASA 0 | -0.1 | | | Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1 | -0.0 | | | | If winner is:HomeEmpateAway | | Week of 8/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | | ASA vs América-RN | +1.1+0.3-1.9 | | | Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MT | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | ABC vs Fortaleza | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | Remo vs Confiança | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | | | Mogi Mirim vs Macaé | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | | TP | W | - | L | - | E | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 31 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 52 | 11 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 29 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 46 | 6 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 43 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 27 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 36 | 3 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 26 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 39 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 25 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 30 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 29 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 24 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 5 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 23 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 42 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 43 | 32 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 22 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 43 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 21 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 47 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 49 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | 20 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 44 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 26 | 44 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | 19 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 36 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | 18 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 32 | 11 | 1 | | | 17 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 24 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 0 | | 16 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 35 | 39 | 15 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
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