How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
ABC vs Salgueiro-8.6-1.6+9.8
-0.5-0.1+0.5
Salgueiro vs Juventude+8.7-2.0-7.1
+0.5-0.1-0.4
Guarani vs Fortaleza+1.3+0.4-1.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
ABC vs Mogi Mirim-1.4+0.4+1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Guarani vs Remo+1.1+0.4-1.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fortaleza vs River-PI-0.6+0.7+0.1
ASA vs Confiança-0.3+0.9-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
River-PI vs Juventude-1.3+0.3+1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Confiança vs Fortaleza-0.2+0.9-0.5
Remo vs ASA-0.1+0.7-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Salgueiro finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910Count
43-54In1006,024*
4213-3-2In10004,542*
4113-2-3In10008,161*
4012-4-2In100013,375*
3912-3-3In100022,102*
3811-5-2In99134,610*
3711-4-3In99152,957*
3611-3-4In982077,269*
3510-5-3In9640109,597*
3410-4-4In9460150,372*
3310-3-5In90100199,709*
329-5-4In841600258,371*
319-4-5In762310321,731*
308-6-4In663130185,211
9-3-6In643330205,175*
298-5-5100.0%5241700457,532*
288-4-6100.037491410317,247
7-7-4100.039481210204,449*
277-6-5100.024512320296,964
8-3-799.924502430279,986*
267-5-699.7124436700386,974
8-2-899.7134535700228,867*
257-4-798.3531451720362,646
6-7-598.7533441610277,220*
246-6-694.41184530500346,351
7-3-894.2218453060299,464*
236-5-783.30733431510387,596
5-8-585.10835421410239,763*
226-4-864.30218443050317,666
5-7-666.80220452950274,555*
215-6-741.90073443141294,883
6-3-942.60083542141244,917*
205-5-821.2021946294291,282
4-8-622.7022046283185,704*
195-4-98.7008374311211,874
4-7-79.2009384310196,187*
184-6-82.803255122336,412*
174-5-90.701134937267,257*
164-4-100.1064153204,060*
153-6-90.0023068150,031*
143-5-100.0012079105,499*
133-4-11Out0128871,292*
122-6-10Out069446,469*
112-5-11Out039727,769*
102-4-12Out29816,489*
91-6-11Out1998,929*
81-5-12Out01004,408*
71-4-13Out01002,180*
1-6Out1001,473*
00-0-18Out1001,119
Total:70.6%231916141210808,994,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Lottery seed
ABC vs Salgueiro+0.8+0.2-1.0
Salgueiro vs Juventude-0.9+0.2+0.7
Guarani vs Remo-0.1-0.0+0.1
ABC vs Mogi Mirim+0.1-0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Fortaleza-0.1-0.0+0.1
Fortaleza vs River-PI+0.0-0.1+0.0
ASA vs Confiança+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Lottery seed
River-PI vs Juventude+0.1-0.0-0.1
Remo vs ASA+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confiança vs Fortaleza+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
47-54100
4615-1-21000
44-45100
4313-4-11000
4213-3-210000
4113-2-310000
4012-4-210000
3912-3-39900
3811-5-29911
3711-4-39811
3611-3-496220
3510-5-393340
3410-4-489560
3310-3-58281000
329-5-4731116000
319-4-5611523010
308-6-4461832030
298-5-531214017000
288-4-6182046213010
277-6-581645623020
8-3-781645524030
267-5-62103410350700
8-2-83113610340700
257-4-704191243117020
6-7-505201343116010
246-6-601711404300500
7-3-80171141430060
236-5-700162684201510
226-4-80021084223050
5-7-60021194322950
215-6-700025295431410
6-3-90003530442141
205-5-8002146452940
195-4-9000443644120
184-6-800122149252
174-5-90011042417
164-4-10004295116
153-6-9001165231
143-5-100084548
133-4-11033463
122-6-10012376
112-5-1101485
102-4-120892
91-6-110595
81-5-12298
71-4-13199
61-3-140100
50-5-13199
1-4100
00-0-18100
Total:166153142131119630