How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza vs River-PI-8.9-1.5+10.0
-0.5-0.1+0.5
Guarani vs Fortaleza+1.3+0.5-1.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
ABC vs Mogi Mirim-1.4+0.4+1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Guarani vs Remo+1.1+0.4-1.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Salgueiro vs Juventude-1.3+0.3+1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
ASA vs Confiança-0.3+0.9-0.3
ABC vs Salgueiro-0.4+0.6-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
River-PI vs Juventude+8.7-2.0-7.1
+0.5-0.1-0.4
Confiança vs Fortaleza-0.3+0.9-0.4
Remo vs ASA-0.2+0.8-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the River-PI finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910Count
43-54In1006,108*
4213-3-2In10004,596*
4113-2-3In10008,057*
4012-4-2In100013,462*
3912-3-3In100022,415*
3811-5-2In99134,500*
3711-4-3In99152,648*
3611-3-4In982077,271*
3510-5-3In9640109,367*
3410-4-4In9460150,631*
3310-3-5In90100201,151*
329-5-4In841600257,603*
319-4-5In752310322,707*
308-6-4In653230186,170
9-3-6In643330205,432*
298-5-5100.0%5142700290,609
9-2-7100.05241700166,600*
288-4-6100.036491410316,647
7-7-4100.038481310204,067*
277-6-5100.024502330297,093
8-3-799.923502430279,936*
267-5-699.7124436700387,479
8-2-899.7134535700227,737*
257-4-798.3531451720361,757
6-7-598.7533451610276,310*
246-6-694.41184530500345,371
7-3-894.3218453050298,152*
236-5-783.50734431510388,477
5-8-585.10835421410239,666*
226-4-865.00219443050317,892
5-7-667.00220452940275,443*
215-6-742.50083543141296,753
6-3-943.80083542131245,016*
205-5-821.9022046284291,452
4-8-623.5022146273186,724*
195-4-99.3009384310211,913
4-7-79.5009394210195,471*
184-6-83.103265021336,108*
174-5-90.801144936266,421*
164-4-100.2064252204,073*
153-6-90.0033167150,246*
143-5-100.0012179105,447*
133-4-11Out0138771,486*
122-6-10Out079345,711*
112-5-11Out049627,923*
102-4-12Out29816,295*
91-6-11Out1998,958*
81-5-12Out01004,541*
2-7Out1003,710*
00-0-18Out1001,118
Total:70.8%231916141210808,994,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Lottery seed
Fortaleza vs River-PI+0.8+0.2-0.9
Salgueiro vs Juventude+0.1-0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Remo-0.1-0.0+0.1
ABC vs Mogi Mirim+0.1-0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Fortaleza-0.1-0.0+0.1
ASA vs Confiança+0.0-0.1+0.0
ABC vs Salgueiro+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Lottery seed
River-PI vs Juventude-0.9+0.2+0.7
Remo vs ASA+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confiança vs Fortaleza+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
45-54100
4414-2-21000
4313-4-1100
4213-3-210000
4113-2-310000
4012-4-210000
3912-3-39900
3811-5-29901
3711-4-39811
3611-3-496220
3510-5-394340
3410-4-489560
3310-3-58371000
329-5-4731016000
319-4-5611423010
308-6-44718320300
298-5-532204117000
288-4-6171947214010
7-7-4182046213010
277-6-581645623030
8-3-781545524030
267-5-62103410360700
8-2-8210369350700
257-4-704191243117020
6-7-505201343116010
246-6-601711404300500
7-3-80171141430050
236-5-700162684201510
5-8-500262784201410
226-4-80021084323050
5-7-60021194322940
215-6-700025305421410
205-5-80002146452840
195-4-9000443643110
4-7-7000453743110
184-6-800122249252
174-5-90011042406
164-4-10004295016
153-6-901175231
143-5-100084447
133-4-11033463
122-6-10012376
112-5-1101485
102-4-120891
91-6-110495
81-5-12298
71-4-13199
61-3-14199
2-5100
00-0-18100
Total:176153142131119630