Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Guarani vs Remo-7.9-2.5+9.9
-0.4-0.1+0.5
Guarani vs Fortaleza+1.5+0.6-1.9
+0.1+0.0-0.1
ABC vs Mogi Mirim-1.7+0.4+1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Salgueiro vs Juventude-1.4+0.4+1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Fortaleza vs River-PI-0.7+0.8+0.1
ASA vs Confiança-0.4+1.0-0.4
ABC vs Salgueiro-0.5+0.7*-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Remo vs ASA+11.3-1.9-9.8
+0.5-0.1-0.5
River-PI vs Juventude-1.4+0.3+1.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Confiança vs Fortaleza-0.3+1.1-0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Remo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910Count
42-51In1003,722*
4113-2-2In10002,772*
4012-4-1In10005,062*
3912-3-2In10009,164*
3812-2-3In100015,509*
3711-4-2In99125,306*
3611-3-3In982040,382*
3511-2-4In973061,036*
3410-4-3In946089,376*
3310-3-4In90100127,618*
329-5-3In841500173,141*
319-4-4In762310229,434*
309-3-5In653230294,491*
298-5-4100.0%5241700363,183*
288-4-5100.037481310292,145
7-7-3100.038481310143,001*
278-3-699.923502430255,663
7-6-4100.025502320250,475*
267-5-599.7134535700356,218
8-2-799.7134535700210,379*
257-4-698.55324517200390,416
6-7-498.7533441610228,366*
246-6-594.72194530500318,427
7-3-794.41184530500333,373*
236-5-684.50734421410417,453
7-2-885.30835421410245,921*
226-4-766.50220452950390,547
5-7-567.80220462840264,000*
215-6-644.10083642131318,233
6-3-844.50083642131304,656*
205-5-723.5022146273357,145
6-2-924.3022247263215,283*
195-4-810.2011039419292,264
4-7-610.3011040419216,536*
184-6-73.403275020227,150
5-3-93.604275019208,169*
174-5-81.001155034359,931*
164-4-90.2074350286,274*
153-6-80.0033364217,669*
143-5-90.0012277159,253*
133-4-10Out01486112,122*
122-6-9Out089274,347*
112-5-10Out049647,409*
102-4-11Out029828,513*
91-6-10Out19916,144*
81-5-11Out01008,555*
71-4-12Out01004,329*
61-3-13Out01001,860*
1-5Out1001,180*
00-0-17Out1001,118
Total:62.9%1616161514131108,994,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Lottery seed
Guarani vs Remo+0.7+0.2-0.9
ABC vs Mogi Mirim+0.1-0.0-0.1
Salgueiro vs Juventude+0.1-0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Fortaleza-0.1-0.0+0.1
ASA vs Confiança+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs River-PI+0.0-0.1+0.0
ABC vs Salgueiro+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Lottery seed
Remo vs ASA-1.0+0.2+0.8
River-PI vs Juventude+0.1-0.0-0.1
Confiança vs Fortaleza+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
42-51100
4113-2-210000
4012-4-110000
3912-3-29900
3812-2-39910
3711-4-29811
3611-3-396220
3511-2-493330
3410-4-3895600
3310-3-48281000
329-5-3731115000
319-4-4611523010
309-3-5471932030
298-5-432204017000
288-4-5181946213010
7-7-3182046213010
278-3-681545524030
7-6-481745623020
267-5-521035103507000
8-2-7310369350700
257-4-6052012431170200
6-7-405201343116010
246-6-502711414300500
7-3-701810413300500
236-5-600262784201410
7-2-800262874201410
226-4-70021284322950
5-7-50021194422840
215-6-60003531542131
6-3-80003532442131
205-5-70002156462730
6-2-9002166462630
195-4-8000553842110
4-7-6000553842100
184-6-700122348242
5-3-900122449231
174-5-80011143396
164-4-9004314915
153-6-8001185130
143-5-90094447
133-4-10043363
122-6-9012276
112-5-1001486
102-4-110892
91-6-100496
81-5-11298
71-4-12199
61-3-130100
1-5100
00-0-17100
Total:1151331421411311850